Leaning Bush (over Paul). Walker and Christie are tied for a distant 3rd because they would scare NOVA to death with their budget cut rhetoric. I could see Bush taking his father's path to a narrow win: supercharged rural turnout plus winning over enough moderate minority voters to cut the Dem margins in their base areas. Paul would be trying the Gillespie path and hoping to do a couple percent better in Fairfax.
That sounds more like his brother's path to Virginia.
I do agree that Jeb is the best fit for Virginia.