GQR (D) releases NC/IA/GA/CO polls

[Miles]

Report.

The results line up well with the CW in each race.

NC
Hagan- 45%
Tillis- 41%

IA
Ernst- 45%
Braley- 44%

GA
Perdue- 46%
Nunn- 41%

CO
Udall- 45%
Gardner- 45%

[Person Man]

I can believe those numbers.

[Lief 🗽]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/519213412451360768

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[backtored]

Beautiful.

[Vega]

Looks pretty accurate.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wow. Quasi internals, but not even trying to lie.

[DrScholl]

This is demonstrative of the fact that Democratic internals are not skewed and are more reality based.

[Mehmentum]

Internals, but they are pretty much exactly at where these races seem to be.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

This is demonstrative of the fact that Democratic internals are not skewed and are more reality based.

[Maxwell]

This only proves that hack firms are mimicking good firms in states where good firms do polling (see: some of Rassy's recent stuff).

[cinyc]

This is demonstrative of the fact that Democratic internals are not skewed and are more reality based.

Democratic internals are as skewed as the candidate releasing them want to be.  You cannot trust ANY internals because candidates who are way behind put out internals showing the race closed based on unrealistic turnout models all the time.  Democratic internals are no more "skewed" than Republican internals.  They ALL need to be taken with a huge grain of salt.

[DrScholl]

This is demonstrative of the fact that Democratic internals are not skewed and are more reality based.

Democratic internals are as skewed as the candidate releasing them want to be.  You cannot trust ANY internals because candidates who are way behind put out internals showing the race closed based on unrealistic turnout models all the time.  Democratic internals are no more "skewed" than Republican internals.  They ALL need to be taken with a huge grain of salt.

That's your opinion, but it's not accurate. These polls in particular speak for themselves, as they line up with the most recent independent polling.

[cinyc]

That's your opinion, but it's not accurate. These polls in particular speak for themselves, as they line up with the most recent independent polling.

1) These polls were done for an interest group, not a candidate.  So they are not true internals.  We've included polls for interest groups in the averages before.
2) This website, 538 and others don't include candidate internals in their poll averages for good reason.  Candidates release polls that are favorable to them that do not necessarily reflect the actual race or shape of the electorate.   Rely on them at your own peril.

[Lief 🗽]

Guys, again. The top line numbers are just copied from the Huffington Post average. They weighted their results to match the average. The point of the polls is for message testing.

[Tender Branson]

They look accurate, but the sample size in each state is very low & with a high MoE:

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