IA-AARP: Old Iowa voters back Ernst by 3

[Tender Branson]

Only 50+ likely voters:

43-40 Ernst/Braley

http://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/general/2014/Iowa-Voters-Age-50-Plus-and-the-2014-Election-AARP-res-gen.pdf

[Mr. Illini]

Bad news for Ernst if anything.

[Senator Cris]

Bad news for Ernst if anything.

Why? In 2012 Obama leads Romney 55-43 between 50-64 and draw 50-50 between 65 and older.
The Obama leads among 50+ voters was 53-46.

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/IA/president

[Senator Cris]

Bad news for Ernst if anything.

Why? In 2012 Obama leads Romney 55-43 between 50-64 and draw 50-50 between 65 and older.
The Obama leads among 50+ voters was 53-46.

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/IA/president

Going beyond, If I replace only the 2012 50+ results with the numbers of this poll (52-48 Ernst without undecided), I have Obama at 50% and Romney at 49% (the 2012 results were Obama 52% Romney 46%). All this with only replace the 50+ results, not all results.