Polling of the shutdown

[pbrower2a]

PPP has polled several states on the proposed shutdown.  Blue for sympathetic (largely Republicans) and red for unsympathetic (generally to the advantage of Democrats).

First group here, from PPP.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/10/shutdown-hurts-gop-senate-chances.html

[pbrower2a]

Another PPP poll, and the shutdown plays badly in Kentucky, too.

Another from Virginia from a few days ago.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/KentuckySenatePollOctober2013.pdf

http://images.politico.com/global/2013/10/07/virginiapoll100713.html

I suspect that voting for the shutdown looks like political suicide in any but the most R-friendly districts. Even where Obamacare is unpopular the shutdown of the federal government for the purpose of defeating duly-enacted legislation is over the top. 

[King]

What's the criteria of a "sympathetic" poll?

[pbrower2a]

What's the criteria of a "sympathetic" poll?

Sympathetic -- favorable to the Shutdown. Unsympathetic -- the opposite.

[pbrower2a]

In a State (Montana) in which President Obama has only 29% approval:

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Read more: http://billingsgazette.com/news/local/education/new-msub-poll-reveals-montanans-opposed-shutdown-disapprove-of-obama/article_00d85a5e-ae77-5b8d-958b-3d41052cc71e.html#ixzz2imP9szU4
 

[pbrower2a]

Federal government shutdown

The October shutdown of the federal government is widely disapproved of by Wisconsin voters. Nineteen percent support shutting down the government in an effort to stop the health care reform law from going into effect, while 76 percent oppose the shutdown.
 
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013/10/29/marquette-law-school-poll-shows-walker-in-tight-race-with-burke-for-wisconsin-governor-in-2014/

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Proposed shutdown?  It was practically over when you posted this...

[pbrower2a]

Proposed shutdown?  It was practically over when you posted this...

Yes. It is over. I do not accept any political result as complete until alternatives are absolutely impossible.

This is Texas:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_TX_1107.pdf

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In one of the quirky polls that PPP questions does (and I suggested this one -- but "fire ants" did not make the cut),

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/11/mixed-news-for-cruz-in-texas-polling-numbers.html#more

[Redalgo]

This is fascinating. If I may ask, are there numbers for which party is considered most to blame for the threat of government shutdown, among people opposed to said shutdown in the states listed? I suspect partisan lines may reemerge in those results - and that numbers in battleground states in particular could be much more revealing than gauging the popularity of a government shutdown.

[pbrower2a]

The question may be whether the GOP implodes in 2014 or in 2016. If in 2014, then Barack Obama gets to have the last two years of his administration looking much like the first two in getting legislation passed. Such could paradoxically have Democrats facing exhaustion in 2016 to the benefit of a Republican who can offer 'moderation'. If in 2016, then partisan politics commit America to gridlock until then.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

This is fascinating. If I may ask, are there numbers for which party is considered most to blame for the threat of government shutdown, among people opposed to said shutdown in the states listed? I suspect partisan lines may reemerge in those results - and that numbers in battleground states in particular could be much more revealing than gauging the popularity of a government shutdown.

This question was asked of all voters in the October Winthrop Poll in South Carolina.

T28 As you know, President Obama and the Republicans in Congress did not meet a key deadline for a budget agreement, and this led to a shutdown of the federal government. Who do you think is more to blame for this shutdown, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? [ANSWERS ROTATED]

President Obama         28.8%
Republicans in Congress      47.3%
Both Equal (volunteered)      20.3%
Not Sure                 2.5%
Refused                 1.1%

So even here in a solid GOP state, the GOP took the blame.  Whether that causes votes to change is another question, but definitely only the people drinking the FOX Flavor Aid re thinking it was Obama being unreasonable.