PPP- New Hampshire Clinton Romps, Paul narrowly ahead

[NewYorkExpress]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/09/clinton-leads-dems-paul-and-christie-tops-among-republicans-in-nh.html#more

Democrats

Clinton 57%
Biden 12%
Warren 11%
Booker 4%
Cuomo 2%
1% each for Schweitzer, O'Malley, Warner and Gillibrand

Republicans

Paul 20%
Christie 19%
Bush 14%
Ayotte 12%
Cruz 10%
Rubio 7%
Ryan 7%
Jindal 3%
Santorum 2%

[Mr. Morden]

If Clinton doesn't run....

Biden 36%
Warren 20%
Booker 9%
Cuomo 7%
Gillibrand, O'Malley, Schweitzer, Warner 1% each

If neither Biden nor Clinton runs....

Warren 33%
Cuomo 14%
Booker 12%
Gillibrand 5%
O'Malley 4%
Warner 2%
Schweitzer 1%

[Mr. Morden]

On the GOP side, who leads among....?

moderates: Christie
somewhat conservative: Paul
very conservative: Paul
men: Paul
women: Christie
age 18-45: Paul
age 46-65: Paul
age 65+: Christie

On the Democratic side, in the matchup with everybody, Warren's strongest group (and Clinton's weakest) is voters age 45 and under, where it's

Clinton 47%
Warren 17%
Biden 14%
Booker 7%

Whereas for voters over 45, Clinton is over 60%, and Warren is under 10%.  Warren's also at 17% against Clinton among "very liberal".  In the matchup without Clinton, Biden leads Warren 31-25% among "very liberal", while beating her by 14% among "somewhat liberal" and 23% among "moderates".

[Likely Voter]

Imagine if Christie doesn't win NH. He isn't going to win in IA or SC so he would start out 0 for 3. Hard to see him coming back from that.

[Mr. Morden]

Imagine if Christie doesn't win NH. He isn't going to win in IA or SC so he would start out 0 for 3.

Nevada will most likely go before South Carolina.

[Likely Voter]

well assuming NV is a caucus, he would struggle there too.

Side note: And if NV ends up ahead of SC, then 2 out of 3 of the first contests will be caucuses which is really stupid

[LeBron]

Glad to see Biden still has a reasonable lead over Warren, but ugh about Christie at the top again.