LA-OnMessage (R): Internal for the NRSC has Sen. Landrieu (D) up 4

[Tender Branson]

45-41 Landrieu/Cassidy

Memo to NRSC Leadership
From: Wes Anderson
Date: August 17, 2013
Re: Survey Results – Louisiana Statewide Survey

METHODOLOGY

The following survey was conducted by OnMessage, Inc. Live interviews were conducted via telephone (20% cell phone / 80% landline) August 13-15 and were stratified by parish to reflect historic turnout patterns. This survey consists of 600 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.0%. The party and geographic breakdown of the survey is as follows: 42% Democrat, 16% Independent and 40% Republican.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/08/19/nrsc-poll-landrieu-45-cassidy-41

[Tender Branson]

AR and LA are definitely worrying, but it's good news if the NRSC internal has Landrieu leading

[Tender Branson]

There's also another weird difference between the Harper survey and this one - both are GOP pollsters:

In this poll, Jindal has a net positive approval (+4) - while Landrieu is ahead by 4.

In the Harper poll, Jindal has a strong net negative favorability (-16) - but Cassidy is ahead by 2.

I know that approval and favorables should not be compared, but it's still a big difference.

[Maxwell]

I'd say Jindal being down, not up, is far more accurate, since his last poll showed him with like a 30% approval rating.

[Miles]

'Got it already