John Hickenlooper/Sherrod Brown vs John Hoeven/Jan Brewer

[NewYorkExpress]

Who wins? (With maps)

[Maxwell]

While Jan Brewer is an awful pick for VP and downs the ticket, John Hoeven would be an interesting, if boring, nominee. Meanwhile, I think a lot of moderates would cringe at VP Sherrod Brown, while Hickenlooper would be even more boring than Hoeven. I think it would be more interesting if the tickets were flipped, but I think there Brown would win easily. I think this could go either way honestly, and I haven't an idea how a map would go.

[eric82oslo]

Certainly not Jan Brewer. Such a ticket will probably be the most polarizing one in modern history, possibly even exceeding the extent to which the Bush/Cheney ticket of 2004 was an explosive one.

[pbrower2a]

Jan Brewer would hand Colorado, Nevada,  and New Mexico to a Democrat by large margins. I see nothing about her to cause me to believe that she would help the Republicans flip such states as Iowa, Michigan, or Pennsylvania in addition to the states of Florida, Ohio, and Virginia that they absolutely must win.   

[Mister Mets]

Hickenlooper would be unlikely to pick a white guy. And a Republican nominee will be unlikely to pick an elderly Governor with a reputation for being unstable.

Still, this would probably be a good election for Democrats, even when taking into account the second term curse for a party.

Honestly, the map you'd see half the time would be a repeat of the states Obama won in 2012.

If Brewer makes seriously bad gaffes, there go North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri and Georgia.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Expect low turnout. Both nominees would be overshadowed by their VP picks with the more liberal Brown and Brewer, who would basically set fire to an already sinking ship of a ticket. Hick wins Obama States + NC, and in a worst case scenario for the Repubs NE-02, GA, MO, and possibly AZ, (Brewer is at a 31% approval rating there so the favorite son effect would likely not exist at all.