Obama vs Romney with Bush vs Kerry Demographics
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Obama vs Romney with Bush vs Kerry Demographics
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Author Topic: Obama vs Romney with Bush vs Kerry Demographics  (Read 667 times)
JRP1994
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« on: June 22, 2013, 05:41:23 PM »

Obama receives the same percentage of White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, and Others as John Kerry did, and Romney receives the same percentages that Bush did.



Obama/Biden : 279, 48.4%
Romney/Ryan: 259, 49.8%

Interesting notes:

1) Romney wins Nevada and New Mexico, despite losing Colorado.
2) Romney wins Virginia despite losing Ohio.
3) Romney wins National Popular Vote despite losing Electoral College Vote

Sources:

1) http://www.ropercenter.uconn.edu/elections/how_groups_voted/voted_04.html
2) http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/04/30/us/politics/presidential-math-demographics-and-immigration-reform.html?_r=1&
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JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
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« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2013, 05:53:27 PM »

when I did this using a different demographic Calculator, I had romney winning with 292 electoral votes
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JRP1994
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« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2013, 05:54:39 PM »

when I did this using a different demographic Calculator, I had romney winning with 292 electoral votes

Could you post the link to that calculator? I'd like to try it on more than one as well.
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JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
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« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2013, 05:56:51 PM »

It doesn't give you a popular vote, and it was for 2008, so the electoral map is wrong, but you can easily see what it is now.

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/2008/specials/demographic_map/
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badgate
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« Reply #4 on: June 23, 2013, 12:41:15 AM »

Just curious, for that map/EV count, did you use 2012 or 2004 electoral vote allocation?
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