Clinton v. Santorum
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Author Topic: Clinton v. Santorum  (Read 595 times)
sentinel
sirnick
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« on: January 11, 2013, 01:25:23 PM »

Allow me to set the stage for you.

2016

Rick Santorum, Chris Christie and Jeb Bush are the three leading contenders for the Republican nomination. Santorum manages to split the moderates and comes out the winner in Iowa, South Carolina and ultimately winning the nomination. He selects former Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell as his running mate. (And Santorum is next in line from 2012 after all)

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton enters the race and sweeps to victory pretty much unchallenged for the nomination. Clinton selects Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer as her running mate.

Nationally, President Obama remains relatively popular but nothing to brag about. The economy is still expanding and getting better but growth remains lackluster at best. People are more confident about the future than they were four years ago. Unemployment is around 6.5%. The US is out of Iraq and Afghanistan. Iraq remains stable, Afghanistan is unraveling quickly but quietly.


Best Case Scenario for Santorum:



Clinton: 371
Santorum: 167

Best case scenario for Clinton:



Clinton: 443
Santorum: 95

Edit: The real best case scenario for Clinton is a 50 state sweep.
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Blue3
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« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2013, 04:47:48 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=166470.0
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dudeabides
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« Reply #2 on: January 12, 2013, 12:24:59 AM »

Hillary won't be a candidate, but it would probably look like this;

Hillary Clinton / Mark Warner (D) 59% 407 EV
Rick Santorum / Mary Fallin  (R) 40% 131 EV

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badgate
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: January 12, 2013, 12:57:49 AM »

Hillary won't be a candidate, but it would probably look like this;

Hillary Clinton / Mark Warner (D) 59% 407 EV
Rick Santorum / Mary Fallin  (R) 40% 131 EV



Why'd you give Clinton New Mexico?
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2013, 02:31:13 AM »

Seems about right to me, although I think it'd be plausible to add WY to a Clinton best-case (but not complete sweep) scenario. While it is a strongly Republican state, the "Eastern" Roman-Catholic duo of Santorum and McDonnell could potentially suffer defections to the ticket with Schweitzer as VP, or significant numbers of abstentions and third-party votes.
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badgate
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« Reply #5 on: January 12, 2013, 02:57:09 AM »
« Edited: January 12, 2013, 06:38:01 AM by badgate »

My map:




Frmr. Sec. of State Hillary Rodham Clinton/Gov. Richard Carmona; 421 electoral votes
Frmr. Senator Rick Santorum/Gov. Mary Fallin; 117 electoral votes
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Cryptic
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« Reply #6 on: January 12, 2013, 05:11:39 AM »



Hillary Clinton: 427 EV  
Rick Santorum: 111 EV
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