CDs that will vote for the opposite party pres. than they did in 2008

[nclib]

I'm referring to their Presidential vote under the new lines (i.e. McCain/Obama and Obama/Romney CDs).

Obama -> Romney

- a few in southern Calif.
- a couple in Michigan
- NV-2

McCain -> Obama

- AZ-2
- close FL Cuban CD

What else comes to mind?

[Miles]

Obama could possibly win AZ-01 since he got 48% there in 2008.

I suspect IN-02 will flip back to Romney.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

A couple polls indicate that NY-1 and NY-18 could flip to Romney, while another poll indicates that Obama could pick up NY-11.


See:  https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=157589.msg3436413#msg3436413

[Devils30]

FL-26 had Obama up 52-46 and Rivera losing his seat. Of course he has many other issues in addition to a good Obama showing. OH-16 may be possible as well.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

FL-26 had Obama up 52-46 and Rivera losing his seat. Of course he has many other issues in addition to a good Obama showing. OH-16 may be possible as well.

Intersting, could you give a link please?

[Mr.Phips]

FL-26 had Obama up 52-46 and Rivera losing his seat. Of course he has many other issues in addition to a good Obama showing. OH-16 may be possible as well.

If Obama wins OH-16, Sutton almost certainly wins there.  Renacci was a wash-in due to the 2010 wave and has pretty much no crossover appeal.

Obama may win KS-03, CO-03, and possibly NM-02.  PA-11 is another possibility as is NJ-05.  It will be interesting to see the districts Obama wins, because that will be where any new Democratic House majority comes from. 

[Devils30]

FL-26 had Obama up 52-46 and Rivera losing his seat. Of course he has many other issues in addition to a good Obama showing. OH-16 may be possible as well.

Intersting, could you give a link please?

Here is the FL-26 PPP poll
http://www.scribd.com/doc/106278421/Garcia-ppp-PollResults-9-18-12

[Fuzzybigfoot]

FL-26 had Obama up 52-46 and Rivera losing his seat. Of course he has many other issues in addition to a good Obama showing. OH-16 may be possible as well.

Intersting, could you give a link please?

Here is the FL-26 PPP poll
http://www.scribd.com/doc/106278421/Garcia-ppp-PollResults-9-18-12

Thanks!