WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama up by eleven
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  WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama up by eleven
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Author Topic: WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama up by eleven  (Read 530 times)
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realisticidealist
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« on: September 12, 2012, 04:24:43 PM »

New Poll: Washington President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-09-11

Summary: D: 53%, R: 42%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2012, 04:51:02 PM »

This is a slight improvement from PPP's last Washington poll in June, when Obama led by 13 pts, 54-41%.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2012, 04:54:08 PM »
« Edited: September 12, 2012, 04:56:47 PM by Skill and Chance »

This is a slight improvement from PPP's last Washington poll in June, when Obama led by 13 pts, 54-41%.

Of course.  That was an RV poll, during a time when Obama was up by about 3 nationally.

Comparing September numbers to pre-Ryan RV polls is really disingenuous.
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Vosem
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2012, 05:18:32 PM »

This implies either that the convention bounce has run its course (possible...we'll know for sure in a few days) or this is an unusually bad poll for Obama. This is about what he should be up by in Washington in a neutral climate; it implies the reality is Obama in the high single-digits, which is probably consistent, in Washington, with a narrow Romney victory.
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mondale84
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2012, 05:22:49 PM »

All these polls from PPP have been fairly Republican-leaning so we should take them with a lot of salt.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2012, 05:23:19 PM »

This is a slight improvement from PPP's last Washington poll in June, when Obama led by 13 pts, 54-41%.

Of course.  That was an RV poll, during a time when Obama was up by about 3 nationally.

Comparing September numbers to pre-Ryan RV polls is really disingenuous.

It is disineguous to point out there's been no change in Washington per PPP since June? Umm, ok.
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Sbane
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2012, 05:23:33 PM »

This implies either that the convention bounce has run its course (possible...we'll know for sure in a few days) or this is an unusually bad poll for Obama. This is about what he should be up by in Washington in a neutral climate; it implies the reality is Obama in the high single-digits, which is probably consistent, in Washington, with a narrow Romney victory.

Washington might trend Republican though.
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Vosem
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2012, 05:35:30 PM »

This implies either that the convention bounce has run its course (possible...we'll know for sure in a few days) or this is an unusually bad poll for Obama. This is about what he should be up by in Washington in a neutral climate; it implies the reality is Obama in the high single-digits, which is probably consistent, in Washington, with a narrow Romney victory.

Washington might trend Republican though.

Certainly possible, but I was under the impression that the Pacific Northwest is trending Democratic from a Republican high circa 2000...

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2012, 05:59:52 PM »

Vosem, using your logic, you can look at the SUSA Florida poll and extrapolate that Obama is winning by like nine or ten points nationally.
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Vosem
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2012, 06:10:44 PM »

Vosem, using your logic, you can look at the SUSA Florida poll and extrapolate that Obama is winning by like nine or ten points nationally.

Indeed you can, Lief, but it seems there are more polls that extrapolate to a 3-5 point lead or so (this one, the New Mexico one, the Arizona one) than the reverse.
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