IA-Des Moines Register/Selzer: Cain implodes in Iowa
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  IA-Des Moines Register/Selzer: Cain implodes in Iowa
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Author Topic: IA-Des Moines Register/Selzer: Cain implodes in Iowa  (Read 1158 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: December 02, 2011, 08:27:13 AM »

Herman Cain’s once-surging popularity in Iowa has plummeted in the wake of an allegation of a 13-year extramarital affair, leaving him at single-digit support with the Iowa caucuses just over a month away.

Cain is now at 8 percent among likely Republican caucusgoers, The Des Moines Register’s new Iowa Poll shows. That’s down from 23 percent in late October.

On Sunday, the first day of polling, his support stood at 12 percent. That dropped steadily over the four-day poll to 4 percent Wednesday.

The new poll shows 27 percent of likely caucusgoers think he’s the “least knowledgeable” of the 2012 field, topping all candidates in that category.

...

About the poll

The Iowa Poll, conducted Nov. 27-30 for The Des Moines Register by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on interviews with 2,222 registered Republican and independent voters in Iowa ages 18 or older, of which 401 said they would definitely or probably participate in the January 2012 Republican caucus. Interviewers contacted individuals randomly selected from the Iowa voter registration list by telephone, stratifying contact by age. The full sample of 2,222 respondents was adjusted for age and sex based on distribution among active Republican and no-party registered voters. Questions asked of the 401 likely Republican caucusgoers have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. Results based on smaller samples of respondents — such as by gender or age — have a larger margin of error. The two-day rolling averages have a margin of error of plus or minus 6.9 percentage points. Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register is prohibited.

http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/2011/12/02/iowa-poll-cain-support-in-iowa-takes-nose-dive
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2011, 08:29:28 AM »

I spent my New Years Eve 2007 anxiously awaiting the release of the final Des Moines Register poll.  "the structures walked the streets" - Lacan, 1968.  "will they do so again?" - Zizek, 2010.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2011, 08:36:30 AM »

BTW: The full poll results are out tomorrow night.

Probably something like:

28% Gingrich
16% Romney
15% Paul
13% Bachmann
  8% Cain
  6% Perry
  5% Santorum
  1% Huntsman
  8% Undecided
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2011, 08:54:54 AM »

BTW: The full poll results are out tomorrow night.

Probably something like:

28% Gingrich
16% Romney
15% Paul
13% Bachmann
  8% Cain
  6% Perry
  5% Santorum
  1% Huntsman
  8% Undecided

Hm.  Not  a bad guess.  But even being in the camp that calls Bachmann passing Gingrich in Iowa if not winning it, I'd give him a little more and her a bit less at this point.  All indications are that he's the immediate beneficiary of Cain collapsing.  I think we have to see her, Romney, Perry and Paul land some body blows on him in the December debates, attack ads against him and see what the media does.  Though there's some speculation FOX will shield him.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: December 02, 2011, 10:40:10 AM »

Santorum is this year's Chris Dodd.
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California8429
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« Reply #5 on: December 02, 2011, 06:36:38 PM »

Well everyone THINKS he's dropping so polling numbers are going down drastically for that too. The last days of polling we'll see the real committed Cain base in the numbers.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2011, 04:18:20 PM »

When does final come out?  Hopefully they polled 2nd choice of Cain supporters
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2011, 04:26:18 PM »

Should be out tonight.
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CLARENCE 2015!
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« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2011, 04:57:14 PM »


Good analogy...
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #9 on: December 03, 2011, 08:12:17 PM »

Gingrich 25%
Paul 18%
Romney 16%
Bachmann 8%
Cain 8%
Santorum 6%
Perry 6%
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Ben Romney
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« Reply #10 on: December 03, 2011, 08:59:52 PM »

JulioMadrid do you have a link??
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #11 on: December 03, 2011, 09:02:14 PM »


http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2011-12-03/iowa-poll-republican-caucuses/51623628/1?csp=34news
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Bacon King
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« Reply #12 on: December 03, 2011, 11:19:02 PM »


Does that make Keystone Phil this year's WalterMitty?
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