Scott Brown should jump in.
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  Scott Brown should jump in.
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Author Topic: Scott Brown should jump in.  (Read 670 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: October 10, 2011, 03:02:45 AM »

He might have a shot with this field. Plus, there's at least a 50% of him losing his Senate seat anyway.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2011, 03:33:00 AM »

Yeah sure!

There are only 2 people I can think of that could upend that side of the primary/primary voters. One is Giuliani and the other is Judd Gregg.
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I Am Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2011, 07:51:47 AM »

There has been "Brown 2012" speculation ever since he was first elected senator, and he has continually issued denials and said he'll support Romney. Has he given Romney an official endorsement yet?

Gregg has issued denials as well.

Giuliani hasn't made an announcement yet. I think he may just let the New Hampshire primary filing deadline slide on past without announcing his intentions. Then he'll endorse Perry.

The field is now, sadly, full.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2011, 07:54:52 AM »

There has been "Brown 2012" speculation ever since he was first elected senator, and he has continually issued denials and said he'll support Romney. Has he given Romney an official endorsement yet?

Gregg has issued denials as well.

Giuliani hasn't made an announcement yet. I think he may just let the New Hampshire primary filing deadline slide on past without announcing his intentions. Then he'll endorse Perry.

The field is now, sadly, full.

Agreed, I'm just saying that even if Brown wanted to make a run out of it, it wouldn't work out. The only people that are even remotely capable of winning in NH besides Mitt Romney are the ones I listed above.
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20RP12
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2011, 08:13:26 AM »

Why not? There's not enough handsome men from Massachusetts in the race already.
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Roemerista
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2011, 08:36:28 AM »
« Edited: October 10, 2011, 09:30:25 AM by A Roemerista »

You are quite overestimating the chances Brown loses his seat... If Romney is the nominee, which is quite likely,  I hardly believe that the "Obama" factor will lead to a great turnout against him.

Its not all bad for Brown, a poll found that he wins the "intense voters." 48 to 34 percent. He is winning in the "wrong track crowd" Which is a majority, and he is winning in the "economy not improving" crowd, again a majority of voters.

Will it be close? Sure. But at this point, I'm willing to bet good money that he has quite better odds than 50-50.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2011, 09:04:45 AM »

You are quite overestimating the chances Brown loses his seat... If Romney is the nominee, which is quite likely,  I hardly believe that the "Obama" factor will lead to a great turnout against him.

Its not all black for Brown, a poll found that he wins the "intense voters." 48 to 34 percent. He is winning in the "wrong track crowd" Which is a majority, and he is winning in the "economy not improving" crowd, again a majority of voters.

Will it be close? Sure. But at this point, I'm willing to bet good money that he has quite better odds than 50-50.

Yeah if you forced me to handicap that race right now I would say that Brown is sitting at about 60-40% chance of win, but the race will be very close.
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I Am Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2011, 09:15:55 AM »

There has been "Brown 2012" speculation ever since he was first elected senator, and he has continually issued denials and said he'll support Romney. Has he given Romney an official endorsement yet?

Gregg has issued denials as well.

Giuliani hasn't made an announcement yet. I think he may just let the New Hampshire primary filing deadline slide on past without announcing his intentions. Then he'll endorse Perry.

The field is now, sadly, full.

Agreed, I'm just saying that even if Brown wanted to make a run out of it, it wouldn't work out. The only people that are even remotely capable of winning in NH besides Mitt Romney are the ones I listed above.
Gregg earned a whopping 3% in the Derry, New Hampshire straw poll.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2011, 09:22:17 AM »

Gregg earned a whopping 3% in the Derry, New Hampshire straw poll.

Its not like Perry was doing amazing in Texas statewide polls before he announced either, but now his lead in that state is off the charts.
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Roemerista
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2011, 09:32:39 AM »

And 60-40 is much better than the odds he has of winning the nom this late in the game. And if he loses it, his MA political career is over. Just like Romney he will have abandoned his elected position with us, while in office, to pursue the Presidency. Considering Statewide MA GOP folk have a tendency to do that...even Weld did it. Its one of the many thing MA folk dislike about the MA GOP, hell Baker campaigned on "I"m not Going anywhere."
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2011, 09:46:38 AM »

Isn't Scott Brown like Mitt Romney except more liberal? 

Anyway, the 2% of the republican electorate who want someone who's like Mitt Romney except more liberal are already voting for Huntsman.
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The_Texas_Libertarian
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2011, 10:19:09 AM »

The GOP base doesn't need or want another candidate who appears to be anything but a true right wing conservative.  That's why they got upset when they found out that Perry didn't fit that description perfectly
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shua
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2011, 02:02:06 PM »



Giuliani hasn't made an announcement yet. I think he may just let the New Hampshire primary filing deadline slide on past without announcing his intentions. Then he'll endorse Perry.

o gosh i hope not. I'm sick of him screwing up polls in the northeast.
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Paul Kemp
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2011, 03:17:38 PM »

No, no he shouldn't.
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