Battle of the Polls: CBS vs. Rasmussen
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  Battle of the Polls: CBS vs. Rasmussen
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Author Topic: Battle of the Polls: CBS vs. Rasmussen  (Read 280 times)
HST1948
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« on: July 18, 2011, 08:59:13 PM »

Rasmussen:
Support Tax Increases as Part of Raising the Debt Ceiling: 34%?
Support Tax Increases as Part of Raising the Debt Ceiling: 55%?

CBS
Support Tax Increases as Part of Raising the Debt Ceiling: 66%

I don't care what your opinion is on how this issue should be handled, I just want to know how two different pollsters can provide such different results on the same day?

Links:
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20080494-503544.html?tag=re1.galleries

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/business/taxes/july_2011/55_oppose_tax_hike_in_debt_ceiling_deal
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memphis
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2011, 09:45:48 PM »

When you give three options, as CBS did, a large number of people will opt for the comfortable middle option. In short, it depends how you frame the debate. Something the politicians have known forever.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2011, 09:32:27 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2011, 06:11:12 PM by The Vorlon »

When you give three options, as CBS did, a large number of people will opt for the comfortable middle option. In short, it depends how you frame the debate. Something the politicians have known forever.

A couple factors at play....

First is wording.....  Rasmussen linked raising the debt ceiling with tax increases (no mention of spending cuts), while CBS links spending cuts and tax increases together to raise the ceiling.

Even cbs could find only 3% who want only tax increases (ie 97% want some spending cuts and of that 97%, most would like some new revenue into the package as well)

There is also the partisan balance int he poll. - I forget Rasmussens current weightings but the number of GOP and Dems is pretty close.

CBS, by contrast, has a few more democrats in the mix..

Total Republicans  (24%)
Total Democrats (35%)
Total Independents  (41%)

This slides the poll several % in the tax hike direction as well.

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