Macedonian Parliamentary elections 2011
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Author Topic: Macedonian Parliamentary elections 2011  (Read 1775 times)
GMantis
Dessie Potter
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« on: June 05, 2011, 01:14:03 PM »
« edited: June 05, 2011, 01:31:17 PM by GMantis »

http://www.sec.mk/ppi2011/index.php/en
For more information,  see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_political_parties_in_the_Republic_of_Macedonia and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_political_parties_in_the_Republic_of_Macedonia
Apparently, Macedonia is even less of an independent state than previously thought, considering that it's decided outside of the country when elections will be held (see here).

The election polls are completely contradictory. For example, a poll by "Pavel Shatev" from May 27 predicts a victory for VMRO-DPMNE with 55 seats, SDSM second with 30, DUI with 15, DPA with 7 and the other parties 13 , while a poll by "Progress" on May 25 shows SDSM with 43 seats, VMRO second with 38, DUI with 15, DPA with 11 and the other parties 13.  In the first case, the previous coalition will be able to stay in power, while in the second, no two party coalition will be possible - except VMRO+SDSM. But this is unlikely, as Macedonia is not an independent country, as pointed out above. So it seems, that in this case the government will include both major Albanian parties, which might be an improvement of the current situation.

A note of warning. In the first poll the number of seats for each party was given in the poll, while in the second I calculated them myself. Those results are complicated by the rather opaque D'Hondt method which I'm not sure those polsters are familiar with. Of course, I'm not sure I'm familiar with it either - I got rather different figures for the polls when I calculated them myself, so somebody must be wrong here.

While the voting was supposed to end at 19:00 CET, no results or exit polls are available yet. Results should be available live from here.


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GMantis
Dessie Potter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2011, 01:33:49 PM »

Interestingly, the voter turnout seems to be heavier in the mostly Macedonian electoral regions (the share of the Albanian population increases in this order - 4, 3, 5, 1, 2 and 6).
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2011, 01:44:21 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2011, 01:46:41 PM by GMantis »

Here are the first election results:

VMRO-DPMNE 9179
SDSM 5346
DUI 1082
VMRO-NP 414
OM 308
SDU 272
DPA 242
Others 818
Information gathered from 222 (7.33% of total) sections, 1% of total registered voters have been counted

http://217.16.84.11/Default.aspx
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2011, 01:49:25 PM »

There have been accusation about voter fraud and intimidation that makes most elections in the Balkans look tame in comparison, apparently mainly against the ruling party. And when you consider that this party has been one of the few to be reelected recently in the Balkans, this starts to look suspicious...

http://ca.reuters.com/article/topNews/idCATRE7542GH20110605
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2011, 02:18:59 PM »

One thing that can't be denied about Macedonia is that while their electoral system may be extremely dysfunctional, they make great election clips Smiley Here is one by the SDSM from the last parliamentary elections in 2008:
http://vbox7.com/play:37dc4066

Approximate translation:

Man: It was a great night!
Woman: What are you doing here?
Man: I知 lying here.
Woman: Who allowed you to lie here?
Man: You did.
Woman: It was a mistake.
Man: I知 very happy that you chose me! Don稚 you feel like you were reborn? Open, so that we can continue! It will be great! We値l lock ourselves in; isolate ourselves from the whole world, so the two of us can be happy!
Woman: Please leave!
Man: I知 not leaving! I知 here and I知 staying here for the next four years!
Female Announcer: After the first [June 2008], regrets will be useless.
Male announcer: Sun. Coalition for Europe.
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,014
Bulgaria


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« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2011, 02:48:56 PM »

Update:

VMRO-DPMNE 83923
SDSM 67679
DUI 20036
DPA 9090
NDP 5800
VMRO-NP 4994
Party for new democracy 3519
OM 3155   
Others 6499
Information gathered from 960 (32.26% of total) sections, 11.57% of total registered voters have been counted
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