Romney may announce campaign in April
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 04:19:13 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Romney may announce campaign in April
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Romney may announce campaign in April  (Read 744 times)
redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,816
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 15, 2011, 08:58:36 PM »

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705364422/Romney-may-announce-presidential-bid-in-April.html

Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2011, 09:29:34 PM »

I'd doubt he'd announce on tax day since it's very likely nutty people like Palin or minors like Bolton would announce on that. However it seems people are waiting so long now that they'll all announce at the beginning of the second quarter.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2011, 10:19:22 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2011, 10:22:41 PM by Mr. Morden »

Rumored timeframes for the potential candidates to announce a decision, one way or the other:

Pence: January
Johnson: February
Gingrich: February or March
Pawlenty: March or April
Daniels: April
Romney: April
Barbour: April or later
Trump: June
Huckabee: Summer or later
Palin: "not for at least a few months"

The others haven't really indicated when they would announce.  IIRC, both Santorum and Thune said something like "early in 2011" a couple of months ago, but of course that's rather vague.
Logged
This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 16, 2011, 07:55:23 PM »

I don't care if he runs, I'm not voting for him.
Logged
feeblepizza
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,910
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 16, 2011, 09:37:15 PM »

Good for him. Since when does he think he can be elected?
Logged
Mr. Taft Republican
Taft4Prez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 16, 2011, 09:52:20 PM »

Good for him. Since when does he think he can be elected?
Who cares if he can get elected or not, just so long as one of the major people finally announce they're actually running.
Logged
Poundingtherock
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2011, 10:07:42 PM »

Here's a prediction that he'll push back the date to early summer when he'll announce that he's taking a pass.

He's looking for a way out.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2011, 10:29:25 PM »

Here's a prediction that he'll push back the date to early summer when he'll announce that he's taking a pass.

He's looking for a way out.

I don't see how he has anything to lose in running again. I mean this is his last chance and he still wants the presidency.
Logged
Poundingtherock
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 17, 2011, 03:42:47 PM »

I actually think Huckabee and Romney have a lot to lose if they run and don't win the nomination.

Think about it.  You'll be a two-time loser in two consecutive election cycles and you weren't even able to get the nomination.

A loss is perceived differently if you lose as the nominee.  At least then you are a part of history.  If you lose in the primary, you aren't.

Do Romney and Huckabee really want to take the risk?  Does Romney really want to blow another $50 million of his personal money because he clearly has little idea how to handle his campaign money.
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 17, 2011, 05:12:33 PM »

I look forward to seeing him get destroyed in the primary. Again.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 17, 2011, 07:40:35 PM »

I actually think Huckabee and Romney have a lot to lose if they run and don't win the nomination.

Think about it.  You'll be a two-time loser in two consecutive election cycles and you weren't even able to get the nomination.

A loss is perceived differently if you lose as the nominee.  At least then you are a part of history.  If you lose in the primary, you aren't.

Do Romney and Huckabee really want to take the risk?  Does Romney really want to blow another $50 million of his personal money because he clearly has little idea how to handle his campaign money.

How will he be more a part of history by not running at all?

Taft ran several times and never won the nomination.


Its not that Romney didn't know how to spend the money. Its that he had to spend the money to avoid being completely eliminated. He had planned on winning both IA and NH and he had leads in both for months. Those leads came at a price. When that fell through, he had to play in each state that came along far more so then he otherwise would have if he had the NH and IA momentum. He also had to dump money into organizing in tiny caucus states as well seeking to gain whatever advantage possible. As for IA and NH in 2007 he started far too early, going on the air for the first time in March. He should have waited till July or August to avoid peaking too soon. As it was he managed to withstand a Fred surge in IA and then a Rudy surge in NH and still maintained his leads even after they had withered. It was when the Brownback support went on mass to Huckabee and Fred deflated that Huck built the larger voting bloc that one him the caucuses. A similar event allowed McCain to win NH, Rudy pulled out and went with his "FL only" strategy.  He had reason to go out early, he was in the single digits nationally with no one knowing who he was. That is different know. He doesn't need to run adds in March of 2011 and he doesn't need to be on every tv show possible making gaffe and mistatement with avengence. He has to articulate and message. He has to releive concerns about consistency, find some kind of rhetorical escape from RomneyCare, and most importantly offer a vision for America and why he is the best one to defeat Obama. He has a professional campaign staff and a strong organization so its not like he is Angle in terms of campaign mismanagment and incompetence.
Logged
This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 17, 2011, 09:05:47 PM »

I look forward to seeing him get destroyed in the primary. Again.

Huh He's winning big in Nevada and New Hampshire and staying close in Ohio and North Carolina. I don't like him either, but he's inclined to win the nomination if Huckabee doesn't run.
Logged
Poundingtherock
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 17, 2011, 09:44:03 PM »

He's only close in north carolina and ohio because both palin and huckabee are in the race.   He still trails both of them even with both in the race..

Nevada also becomes a toss-up with either one out of the race.

Yes, he won't be a part of history if he doesn't run but at least you wouldn't be down $50 million in the drain.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 17, 2011, 11:03:26 PM »

He's only close in north carolina and ohio because both palin and huckabee are in the race.   He still trails both of them even with both in the race..

Nevada also becomes a toss-up with either one out of the race.

Yes, he won't be a part of history if he doesn't run but at least you wouldn't be down $50 million in the drain.

nevada is a toss-up mainly because it wasn't contested last time since the delegates weren't bound. Now that they are, we'll see a real race there. I mean Romney was the only one who tried (minus Paul) there last time and the effect was minimal but he won.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.232 seconds with 11 queries.