NM-02: PPP: Pearce leads by 1

[Rowan]

Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos. 9/25-9/26. Likely Voters. MoE 4.9% (2/25 results)

Steve Pearce (R) 48 (43)
Rep. Harry Teague (D) 47 (41)

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-2/7/0oIck

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I can't really say whether or not being a former congressman helps more than it hurts here. (I'm guessing, in this particular case, hurts.)

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

This is with brutal demographics. PPP's poll went from being 47-40-13 to being 42-39-19.

[King]

This is with brutal demographics. PPP's poll went from being 47-40-13 to being 42-39-19.

It was a consistently Republican sample across the state here.

Teague's a good guy.  I hope he hangs on more than any of the three.

[Meeker]

There seems to be a realistic possibility that all three New Mexico seats will be Democratic and also a realistic possibility that (if the wave is big enough) all three New Mexico seats will be Republican.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

This is surprising. Pearce has been hit hard recently.

[minionofmidas]

There seems to be a realistic possibility that all three New Mexico seats will be Democratic and also a realistic possibility that (if the wave is big enough) all three New Mexico seats will be Republican.

Yes, though with the order of probabilities being
2-1
3-0
1-2
0-3
with the smallest break between 2-1 and 3-0.