Last States Polls for Rasmussen Bush FL/OH; Kerry PA/MI/MN
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Author Topic: Last States Polls for Rasmussen Bush FL/OH; Kerry PA/MI/MN  (Read 2313 times)
pollwatch99-a
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« on: November 01, 2004, 03:52:42 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2004, 03:54:50 PM by pollwatch99-a »
7 day rolling average with leaners.  Last minute flip in MN to Kerry.

Bush stronger in FL/OH, closing in PA but not enough

FL   Bush 51 Kerry 47
OH  Bush 52 Kerry 46

MN  Kerry 50 Bush 48
MI   Kerry 50 Bush 46
PA   Kerry 50 Bush 48
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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2004, 04:25:52 PM »
The bots almost sound reasonable.
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pollwatch99-a
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2004, 04:35:00 PM »
I know many posters disagree but I think the BOT gives you the trends and the 7 day rolling avg removes the noise.  BOT says trends towards Bush in OH, FL, and PA mirroring other poll's.

BTW : Other polls are showing a late trend to Kerry in MN just picked up by the bot.

They do look reasonable to me.  We shall see.
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Erc
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2004, 04:41:45 PM »
Pretty much matches what I've been saying...

OH, FL to Bush

PA's now once again a tossup (leaning ever so slightly Kerry)

MN ain't gonna go Bush.
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2004, 04:42:59 PM »
Any big surprises in their recent WI / IA polls?
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pollwatch99-a
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2004, 04:46:42 PM »
last polls for WI and IA again look reasonable.  Both 10/30

IA    Bush  49  Kerry 49
WI   Kerry 49  Bush  48
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AuH2O
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2004, 04:55:16 PM »
Those are a little Kerry friendly. Bush is up in Iowa, Wisconsin is tied.
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Whacker77
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2004, 05:10:20 PM »
The Survey USA robot have also chimed in with new numbers.  Bush is up one in Florida.  He was down two a week ago.  Bush is up two in Ohio.  He was down three a week ago.  I'm pretty sure those were the numbers.
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Erc
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2004, 05:18:30 PM »
While we're on the topic of rather dubious polling...any recent ARG numbers (other than that one IA? / NH poll from the other week)?
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2004, 06:04:25 PM »
I love how Rasmussen keeps on pushing back its Electoral College Viewers guide...first it was 5 EST, then 6 EST, now 8 EST...they must have some big surprise in store...
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dokken
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2004, 06:17:12 PM »
how wonderful is it when a new rasmussen poll comes up and only the reps reply to said poll?
The horrible truth may be just around the corner.

President Kerry. Sound bad? Don't think so.
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J. J.
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2004, 06:20:54 PM »
They may be calling a big win for someone.  With those 'bot numbers released, it's hard to say Kerry.  PRESIDENT BUSH, AGAIN?.
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TomC
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2004, 06:24:35 PM »
Pretty blue thread here. Us reds are GOTV. You all will regret not doing the same.

Fox News is finally getting it right! Kerry by 3!
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Pollwatch99
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2004, 06:58:37 PM »
Rasmussen has 222 for Bush right now.  He'll have to move 47 to Bush for OH and FL or he doesn't believe his own numbers.  That is 269.  He has NV tossup.  That's 274.

Other tossups are HI, IA, MI, MN, NH, NM. PA, and WI.  He will likely move MN, PA, and MI to Kerry based upon his polls.

The rest?  No guesses
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Bogart
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2004, 07:06:03 PM »
Quote from: TCash101 on November 01, 2004, 06:24:35 PM
Pretty blue thread here. Us reds are GOTV. You all will regret not doing the same.

Fox News is finally getting it right! Kerry by 3!

Bush got his clock cleaned on the ground game last time. The GOP is not making the same mistake this time around--don't worry.
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Erc
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2004, 08:08:16 PM »
Quote from: Erc on November 01, 2004, 06:04:25 PM
I love how Rasmussen keeps on pushing back its Electoral College Viewers guide...first it was 5 EST, then 6 EST, now 8 EST...they must have some big surprise in store...

Pushed back to 9:00 now...They just love to keep us in suspense, don't they.  (And it's probably nothing momentous, either...
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J. J.
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2004, 10:53:53 PM »
Has there been a new release from Rasmussen?
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2004, 10:55:49 PM »
Except for their anticlimactic Election Viewers' Guide, nope.

It seems as if their final prediction (0700 EST) will be the last thing we see this season out of Rasmussen.
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