Some Election Predictions

[StevenNick]

I'm going to go out on a limb and say:

1) Turnout will not be quite as high as some of the experts are predicting.  It will still be much higher than most past elections--perhaps somewhere between 65-70%.

2) We WILL know who has one this election on election night.  In fact, we may know long before election night is over.  If Bush wins Ohio and Florida, he's won the election.  Period.  If Kerry wins Florida, he's won the election (probably).  If Kerry wins both Ohio and Florida, he's definately won the election.  However, if Kerry wins Ohio, but not Florida, all eyes are on the upper Midwestern battleground states.  Then it might be a long night.  However, I do not think this race will be quite as close as so many are predicting.  I have a feeling that one or the other candidate will sweep many of the battleground states.

3) All the potential voter fraud, law suits, and voter supression that the media has been talking about for the last few weeks won't materialize.  Sure, there will be still be some lawsuits, but because I believe that one of the candidates will win with an outright majority of the popular vote and swamp his opponent in the electoral college, I do not think these lawsuits will be very important or even get much media attention.  This election will be over by 12:01 am November 3.

4) If it becomes apparent that Kerry will lose the election (if, say, Ohio and Florida and/or Pennsylvania and Florida are both called for Bush), Hillary Clinton will suddenly become the 800 pound gorilla in the room.  Her name will be on every pundit's tongue.  Within five minutes she will dominate at least half of all of the conversations of pundits on air.  All eyes will be on Clinton in 2008.