Democracy Corps polls 4-way race: Obama 45% Romney 38% Dobbs 6% Nader 4%

[Mr. Morden]

link:

http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor111609fq12.web_.pdf

This is the breakdown among likely 2012 voters:

Obama 45%
Romney 38%
Dobbs 6%
Nader 4%

Breakdown among people who voted in 2008:

Obama 47%
Romney 37%
Dobbs 5%
Nader 4%

[Phony Moderate]

Hopefully this will convince Nader to run again, and hopefully he will win. It's highly unlikely though.

[Eraserhead]

We know who the likely 2012 voters are already? Yeah, okay.

[Hash]

[stark]DOBBS WILL WIN[/stark]

These three or four-way polls are dumb. I mean, Barr was at 6% and Nader at 5% or so in them in 2008. Yeah, okay.

[California8429]

so this means Dobbs TRUE support is 2%, that would actually vote for him since Nadar and Barr had pollings of 6 and 4% and look what their vote total was

[pbrower2a]

link:

http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor111609fq12.web_.pdf

This is the breakdown among likely 2012 voters:

Obama 45%
Romney 38%
Dobbs 6%
Nader 4%

Breakdown among people who voted in 2008:

Obama 47%
Romney 37%
Dobbs 5%
Nader 4%

The 10-point difference between Obama and Romney suggests about an Eisenhower-scale electoral blowout. Romney picks up about 2% from the would-be Dobbs voters, Obama picks off about 2% from the would-be Nader voters (49-39), and half the undecided stay home (49-39-3-2) or vote like the 'decided' voters, so in the end it ends up 52.6-41.9.

Because Obama has maxed out support in the Blue Firewall states he can have gained only in those states that were close (examples: Georgia, Missouri, and Montana; maybe North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida) and those in which Obama was absolutely crushed in 2008 (like Kentucky, Tennessee, Texas, and West Virginia).     

[Psychic Octopus]

Lol, Nader.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

We know who the likely 2012 voters are already? Yeah, okay.

They only counted currently registered voters, so obviously not.