Which 2008 Obama State is most likely to flip?

[Vepres]

This question is better asked with an "other than Indiana and North Carolina" caveat...

Then Florida would easily win.

I think there could be interesting arguments for Florida or Ohio, and even for Colorado or Virginia. There's some volatility there when you move further away from 50/50. New Hampshire, not likely.

His approvals in Colorado are lower for some reason than in those other states.

[flood insurance man]

Not Ohio.

None of them flip.There is too much time, for too many good things to still happen before 2012.
That is if our Representatives are looking out for us and not themselves. 

[JSojourner]

Indiana, easily.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I think that all of them will have a good chance of flipping come 2012, but if I must choose one state, then Indiana it is.

[FloridaRepublican]

Indiana.  Then NC.  Then probably Florida or Ohio.  Obama winning IN and NC was a fluke.