which state will be more republican in 2012?

[WalterMitty]

discuss.

[Franzl]

if Obama wins the election: likely Ohio
if Obama loses the election: likely Virginia

[WalterMitty]

if Obama wins the election: likely Ohio
if Obama loses the election: likely Virginia

franzl is sitting on the fence.

[minionofmidas]

I can see where he's coming from though.

[Nym90]

Obviously it depends on the GOP nominee. I'll say Ohio, though not by much.

[marvelrobbins]

Obama won Virginia by larger margain so I would say Ohio.However he could win both
states.

[Lief 🗽]

Virginia, of course. It may even be more democratic than the national margin.

[the artist formerly known as catmusic]

I voted for Ohio, but it would still not be by much.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I said Ohio, mainly because Ohio is arguably the second-hardest hit state by the recession, second to Michigan, and it all depends on how we're doing (more importanty, how Ohio is doing) come November 2012.  If the economy is still in the crapper, then Obama is in trouble across the country and Ohio is no different.  If the economy is improved by then, Ohio will be more democratic but still probably more GOP than Virginia.  I believe that the sharp-Democratic trend of NoVa and the gradual trend of SoVa and North Carolina will continue for the majority of the next decade.  I don't see Virginia going back into the Republican column until at least 2016, maybe 2020.  On the other hand, I can see Ohio possibly even going Republican in 2012, but definitely 2016, again all depending on the state of the Ohio and National Economy by then.