VA: Rasmussen: Now it's McCain + 1
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Author Topic: VA: Rasmussen: Now it's McCain + 1  (Read 1878 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: July 18, 2008, 06:24:12 AM »
New Poll: Virginia President by Rasmussen on 2008-07-17

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


The Republican now leads his Democratic opponent 46% to 36% among unaffiliateds: They were essentially even in June, but McCain had led by 19% in this group in May.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Republicans and 84% of Democrats now say they will vote for their party's candidate.

The racial divide remains startling, with 90% of blacks saying they will vote for Obama, the first African-American likely to be his party's nominee for the White House.

36% of white Virginia voters favor Obama, while 52% support McCain.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2008, 06:28:38 AM »
Good to see Obama doing 4 points better than Kerry among Whites, with 12% of them still undecided.

He could improve among Independents though. Kerry also lost them by about 10 ...
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exopolitician
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2008, 06:31:15 AM »
I figured.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2008, 10:04:12 AM »
mark warner.
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agcatter
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2008, 10:40:59 AM »
Rasmussen July 29, 2004

Bush +3

I want to see what Virginia looks like about mid to late September.  Convention bumps will be gone and the electorate seriously focuses on the general. At that point we will see what the battleground states are and where they stand.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2008, 10:41:42 AM »

no reason to forgo a safe senate seat.  Now, if Obama needed Virginia, that would be advisable. But at this point Obama only needs to hold on till the fall and then ramp up turnout.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2008, 10:43:11 AM »
Quote from: agcatter on July 18, 2008, 10:40:59 AM
Rasmussen July 29, 2004

Bush +3

I want to see what Virginia looks like about mid to late September.  Convention bumps will be gone and the electorate seriously focuses on the general. At that point we will see what the battleground states are and where they stand.

Convention "bumps" often become convention "plateaus"
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2008, 12:39:20 PM »
Quote from: agcatter on July 18, 2008, 10:40:59 AM
Rasmussen July 29, 2004

Bush +3

I want to see what Virginia looks like about mid to late September.  Convention bumps will be gone and the electorate seriously focuses on the general. At that point we will see what the battleground states are and where they stand.

You mean when Republicans finally decide to get behind their candidate in a state that has voted Republican for 40 years?
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Aizen
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2008, 01:28:51 PM »
Great. Just great. Obama is collapsing
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exopolitician
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2008, 03:42:16 PM »
Quote from: Aizen on July 18, 2008, 01:28:51 PM
Great. Just great. Obama is collapsing

Dramatic much?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2008, 03:43:53 PM »
Since when is -2 collapsing?
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King
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2008, 08:38:05 PM »

If Kerry had 2 more points, he'd be running for re-election right now.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #12 on: July 19, 2008, 01:11:01 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on July 18, 2008, 10:41:42 AM

no reason to forgo a safe senate seat.  Now, if Obama needed Virginia, that would be advisable. But at this point Obama only needs to hold on till the fall and then ramp up turnout.

Is opening up 20+ field offices going to help with the turnout issue? Seems like too many of them are placed in the SW however....
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #13 on: July 19, 2008, 09:37:48 AM »
This isn't a big deal.  Virginia is going to be the closest state this year; no point worrying over a -2 in July.
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