LA: Rasmussen: McCain up by almost 20 points

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Louisiana President by Rasmussen on 2008-07-10

Summary: D: 37%, R: 56%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


McCain is backed by 87% of Republicans and 30% of Democrats in Louisiana. Obama earns support from just 57% of Democrats and 8% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, McCain tops Obama 50% to 27%.

McCain leads 68% to 19% among White voters while Obama is supported by 92% of African-Americans. McCain leads 60% to 30% among men and 50% to 37% among women.

[agcatter]

Probably some numbers on the Senate race to follow.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Obama: We will compete in the South.

Me: LOL.

Not unexpected. McCain should have a very nice win here.

[Brittain33]

"Cleaning out" and "cleansing" was the metaphor of choice for both Hitler and the Bosnian Serbs. If Rep. Richard Baker had praised Katrina for providing a "Final Solution" to the problem of public housing in New Orleans the press coverage would have been significantly worse.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

That's one district in a special election. 

Where the alternative was Woody Friggin' Jenkins.

[Ronnie]

I expect this to be the only red state where McCain does better than Bush.

[The Mikado]

I expect this to be the only red state where McCain does better than Bush.

Eh...I wouldn't be surprised if he outperformed Bush in Arkansas and in his home state of Arizona.

[Ronnie]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

[Franzl]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

Possible. But you can't assume that people will refuse to vote for Landrieu just because they have problems with a black presidential candidate. Don't overestimate the "coattails".

[Ronnie]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

Possible. But you can't assume that people will refuse to vote for Landrieu just because they have problems with a black presidential candidate. Don't overestimate the "coattails".

I'm just saying that a little while ago when McCain just had a 9 point lead, Landrieu was ahead by 3.  Now that McCain is leading by 19, is it unreasonable to say that Kennedy at least closed the gap?

It's safe to say, though, that if Landrieu actually loses against someone who is fairly unknown and has barely fund raised, LA will be a safe GOP state for some time to come.

[Flying Dog]

Tell Mary Landrieu that 30,000 is "overblown."

[Franzl]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

Possible. But you can't assume that people will refuse to vote for Landrieu just because they have problems with a black presidential candidate. Don't overestimate the "coattails".

I'm just saying that a little while ago when McCain just had a 9 point lead, Landrieu was ahead by 3.  Now that McCain is leading by 19, is it unreasonable to say that Kennedy at least closed the gap?

You don't really think McCain ever only had a 9 point lead, do you?

[Ronnie]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

Possible. But you can't assume that people will refuse to vote for Landrieu just because they have problems with a black presidential candidate. Don't overestimate the "coattails".

I'm just saying that a little while ago when McCain just had a 9 point lead, Landrieu was ahead by 3.  Now that McCain is leading by 19, is it unreasonable to say that Kennedy at least closed the gap?

You don't really think McCain ever only had a 9 point lead, do you?

No, but Rasmussen Reports thought so.  In any case, I really don't expect Landrieu to lose, but an upset is possible under the right circumstances.  She is very lucky, though, that this is a year that a Democrat can't lose.  I'll concede.

[Franzl]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

Possible. But you can't assume that people will refuse to vote for Landrieu just because they have problems with a black presidential candidate. Don't overestimate the "coattails".

I'm just saying that a little while ago when McCain just had a 9 point lead, Landrieu was ahead by 3.  Now that McCain is leading by 19, is it unreasonable to say that Kennedy at least closed the gap?

You don't really think McCain ever only had a 9 point lead, do you?

No, but Rasmussen Reports thought so.  In any case, I really don't expect Landrieu to lose, but an upset is possible under the right circumstances.  She is very lucky, though, that this is a year that a Democrat can't lose.  I'll concede.

Don't get me wrong. I don't think she's got it wrapped up just yet. I just think it would be for different reasons than simply by "Mac's coattails", if she were to lose.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I don't think Landrieu will suffer much from coattails; Louisiana has been going Republican in Presidential races but electing conservative Democrats to the Senate for 40 years.

In 1984, they gave Reagan 60.77%, but gave J. Bennett Johnson, Jr. 85% of the vote.  Just keep that in mind.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I don't think Landrieu will suffer much from coattails; Louisiana has been going Republican in Presidential races but electing conservative Democrats to the Senate for 40 years.

Which makes Chris John a lock against Vitter.

[auburntiger]

Also, how do you think this will take a toll on the LA senate race?  The McCain coattails could definitely pull an upset.

The race should be a nail biter.

Possible. But you can't assume that people will refuse to vote for Landrieu just because they have problems with a black presidential candidate. Don't overestimate the "coattails".

In the reverse way, it also applies to Virginia.

[Democratic Hawk]

What is telling is that in May, Obama led McCain by 7-points among unaffiliated voters in LA; however, McCain now leads Obama by 50/27, which is a 30-point shift

Maybe McCain is reaping the dividends of his flip on offshore-oil drilling

Dave

[Eraserhead]

With New Orleans being cleaned out by Katrina, look for a big Republican victory here in 2008.

Disgusting.