How would each state vote with UK parties?
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  How would each state vote with UK parties?
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Author Topic: How would each state vote with UK parties?  (Read 5900 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #25 on: February 17, 2007, 01:13:26 PM »

For some reason I feel like making a note about the far-right and New York.

The same fascist party that would poll so well (better than anywhere in real life in the U.K actually, as you will soon see) in certain parts of the West would also be active in some eastern metropolitan areas, one of which would be New York.
Traditionally the strongest part of the NY Metro area for this party (call it ANP, National Front or something along those lines) would have been Yonkers, where they would still be able to attract upwards of 20% of the vote in local elections (but only around 10%, maybe lower, in higher-turnout General Elections), but they would probably have peaked there around 2002 or so. This party would also be capable of polling (in local elections again; the distinction is important) double digits in most other towns in Westchester county (and might actually do even better in some than in Yonkers these days; if this strikes anyone as absurd, do note that in real life the BNP poll well in Epping Forest...) and would have had a sizeable following in Staten Island and Queens for years (they would have given up on the rest of NYC about a decade ago).
But the new powerbase of this party in the New York metropolitan area would be on Long Island (mainly due to it's ghastly levels of residential segregation), especially in Nassau county (where they would have benefited enormously from the collapse of the county's once powerful Tory machine in the '90's and would be strongest in the Oyster Bay township and the white parts of Hempstead township), but also in the western part of Suffolk.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #26 on: April 01, 2007, 12:36:05 PM »

A Correction

After looking over demographic stuff, it seems likely that the Tories wouldn't have come first in the New York suburbs (those in New York state that is) in 1997; Labour would have done, though not by much.

And yes; I'll get round to doing some other states soon.
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Jake
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« Reply #27 on: February 13, 2008, 06:40:54 PM »

Bump for the Best Thread On The Atlas Forum.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: February 18, 2008, 11:19:29 PM »

Really enjoying this.

One thought, though... Might need to change the manner in which the President is elected - otherwise I think the LibDems might have died out a while back. Perhaps the Congress has more power (relative to the President) or perhaps they actually choose the President or perhaps there's preferential voting?
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #29 on: February 18, 2008, 11:19:52 PM »

And yes; I'll get round to doing some other states soon.

Don't you love Al Time?
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Jake
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« Reply #30 on: February 18, 2008, 11:49:47 PM »


Don't be a cocksucker. Appreciate what you get.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #31 on: February 19, 2008, 12:02:45 AM »


I should.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #32 on: February 28, 2008, 12:56:39 AM »

How do you guys think California would vote? I think labor will be popular in LA county and in the bay area. In the bay area labor's main opponent is the lib dems and tories are virtually non existent. Orange, San Diego and the central valley are the torie strongholds.
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Verily
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« Reply #33 on: February 28, 2008, 01:19:31 AM »

How do you guys think California would vote? I think labor will be popular in LA county and in the bay area. In the bay area labor's main opponent is the lib dems and tories are virtually non existent. Orange, San Diego and the central valley are the torie strongholds.

San Francisco
Probably votes much like central Brighton on a larger scale. (Although the Lib Dems are only weak in Brighton because of some long-past scandal, so it's not the greatest comparison.)

Breakdown:
Chinese vote significantly for Labour with some Tory.
Hispanic vote for Labour with substantial LD and Tory votes.
Gay vote split three ways between Greens, LDs and Labour.
Other, more generic demographic groups probably favor the LDs with a lot of Green and Labour voters and some wealthy Tory voters.

Overall:
Labour: 30%
LDs: 25%
Greens: 20%
Tories: 20%
Others: 5%


Los Angeles County
Super strong for Labour with strong racial divides; whites mostly split between Tories and LDs (favoring Tories).

Overall:
Labour: 65%
Tories: 20%
LDs: 10%
Others: 5%


Orange County and other LA Area
Tories with the LDs controlling some city councils (actually probably the wealthiest ones with the fewest Hispanics), Labour wins the Hispanic vote but has a lot of difficulty getting them to vote.

Tories: 50%
LDs: 25%
Labour: 20%


North Coast
Strong LD area with previous Labour strength wiped out by Iraq. Greens also influential, and Tories have a loyal vote that can't grow or shrink.

LDs: 45%
Labour: 20%
Tories: 17%
Greens: 13%
Others: 5%


Sacramento Area
The city itself is Labour with LD and Tory opposition of equal size, but most of the suburbs and exurbs are heavily Tory with the LDs as token opposition. Davis likes the Greens, and the Greens might actually be the largest group on their council.

Tories: 50%
Labour: 20%
LDs: 20%
Greens: 5%
Others: 5%


Central Valley
No contest, Tories run away with it. Labour wins the pitiful Hispanic turnout, and the LDs get basically nothing (except some wealthy voters in exurban towns).

Tories: 65%
Labour: 20%
LDs: 10%


The other areas are probably heavily Tory. Overall, the Tories win the state (actually, they probably win almost every state).
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