Could Missouri be a swing state in 2008?/Will it?

[Joe Biden 2020]

I'd like to hear responses on this one.  I think it will, but I have a sneaking suspicion I'm in the minority.  It has all the trends of being a swing state, such as just electing a Democratic Senator in 2006, a very popular Democratic Attorny General that could unseat a mildly unpopular Republican Governor.  Two major metropolitan areas that are VERY Democratic (Kansas City and St Louis).  A Democratic neighbor running (Obama), a very strong grassroots Democratic organization lead by Rita Days and Robin Carnahan.

I'm going to put it as a lean-Democrat swing state right now, until the nominees are known.  It could very easily stay Republican, but I think it just as easily may go Democrat.

Keep this in mind, in the 20th Century save two elections, No Democrat has won the White House without carrying Missouri, and Missouri has voted for the winner in, again, all but 2 elections since 1908.  I think that being Adlai Stevenson in 1952.  It has been the nation's most consistent bellwether.  That could all change in 2008, but I don't think it will this time.

[Josh/Devilman88]

Of course it will be. I believe who ever win MO will win the GE.

[Erc]

MO will be a close state, but the Democrat should win it.  It won't be a key state that has a potential to decide the election one way or the other, but, yes, it will be a "swing state."

[TomC]

Most of the midwest will be swing.

[Padfoot]

Of course it will be. I believe who ever win MO will win the GE.

I agree.  Missouri is the most accurate bellwether state in the country.

[defe07]

Mark my words, Missouri will be a swing state in 08. Another swing state will be Colorado. Don't expect huge margins though.

[JSojourner]

I think Colorado may be 2008's Ohio.  But Missouri is another one that could give both parties headaches well into the morning after election day.  If I were running, I'd be thinking hard about...

Ohio
Colorado
Missouri
Florida
Iowa
Wisconsin
New Mexico
Virginia
Nevada
Arkansas
New Hampshire
and West Virginia

And I'd be foolish to let my guard down in...

Michigan
Pennsylvania
Minnesota
and Oregon

I also have a nagging feeling North Carolina could be close this year.  But that's purely based on anecdotal comments I've received from friends, relations and acquaintances -- most of them Republicans -- who live there and are bound and determined to vote Democrat this time around.  (Knowing them, however, McCain could lure them back -- so I really take their "vows" with a grain of salt.)

[defe07]

I think Colorado may be 2008's Ohio.  But Missouri is another one that could give both parties headaches well into the morning after election day.  If I were running, I'd be thinking hard about...

Ohio
Colorado
Missouri
Florida
Iowa
Wisconsin
New Mexico
Virginia
Nevada
Arkansas
New Hampshire
and West Virginia

And I'd be foolish to let my guard down in...

Michigan
Pennsylvania
Minnesota
and Oregon

I also have a nagging feeling North Carolina could be close this year.  But that's purely based on anecdotal comments I've received from friends, relations and acquaintances -- most of them Republicans -- who live there and are bound and determined to vote Democrat this time around.  (Knowing them, however, McCain could lure them back -- so I really take their "vows" with a grain of salt.)

And when will Indiana turn Dem?

[classical liberal]

After the Huckabee types (i.e. Reagan Democrats) return to the Democratic Party, but before the upper-middle class comes back to the Republican Party

[JSojourner]

I think Colorado may be 2008's Ohio.  But Missouri is another one that could give both parties headaches well into the morning after election day.  If I were running, I'd be thinking hard about...

Ohio
Colorado
Missouri
Florida
Iowa
Wisconsin
New Mexico
Virginia
Nevada
Arkansas
New Hampshire
and West Virginia

And I'd be foolish to let my guard down in...

Michigan
Pennsylvania
Minnesota
and Oregon

I also have a nagging feeling North Carolina could be close this year.  But that's purely based on anecdotal comments I've received from friends, relations and acquaintances -- most of them Republicans -- who live there and are bound and determined to vote Democrat this time around.  (Knowing them, however, McCain could lure them back -- so I really take their "vows" with a grain of salt.)

And when will Indiana turn Dem?

LOL -- shortly before hell freezes over, and right after monkeys fly out of my butt...

[Sbane]

MO,CO,OH and VA seem to be the closest this time around