Is it possible that BOTH parties might end up with a brokered convention?

[12th Doctor]

This is a bit premature, but I am starting to think that their could be a serious chance that one or both parties might end up with a brokered convention.

On the Democrat side we have three well funded candidates, all of whom appeal to a strong base of supporters.

Same on the Republican side, except we have four (maybe five with Paul).

So, thoughts?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It is amazing that between the two parties, 5 elections have resulted in 5 winners.

[JSojourner]

No.

But wouldn't it be absolutely delicious?  I mean -- like 18 year old single malt Glen Livet and perfect New York Strip delicious?

The first convention I paid attention to was 1976.  And even that was nothing like the good old days.

[Angel of Death]

Yes for the Democrats if Edwards intends to stay in till the end as he just proclaimed in his speech.

[Lief 🗽]

It's impossible for the Democrats. It's basically a two-way race at this point.

For the Republicans, there's a minuscule chance. Romney would probably need to win Michigan.

[Verily]

There's at least an outside chance for the Republicans, but I seriously doubt the Democratic convention ends up brokered.

There are not three serious candidates on the Democratic side, there are only two; Edwards will not be winning any states except possibly North Carolina (but probably not). One of the two will sweep most of the February 5 states and win the nomination.

On the Republican side, it depends on how well Giuliani's vote holds up. If he manages, through some miracle, to still win some of the larger states on February 5, he, McCain and Huckabee will probably end up splitting the delegates evenly enough that no one has a majority (though McCain would probably have the fewest of those three and Romney would still have some). In that case, the convention ends up brokered, but that assumes a much stronger late Giuliani campaign than most, myself included, are expecting.

[12th Doctor]

It's impossible for the Democrats. It's basically a two-way race at this point.

For the Republicans, there's a minuscule chance. Romney would probably need to win Michigan.

It's possible... McCain's lead is eroding as the night goes on.  McCain would have needed a blowout in order to significantly disrupt Romney's support there.

[12th Doctor]

There's at least an outside chance for the Republicans, but I seriously doubt the Democratic convention ends up brokered.

There are not three serious candidates on the Democratic side, there are only two; Edwards will not be winning any states except possibly North Carolina (but probably not). One of the two will sweep most of the February 5 states and win the nomination.

On the Republican side, it depends on how well Giuliani's vote holds up. If he manages, through some miracle, to still win some of the larger states on February 5, he, McCain and Huckabee will probably end up splitting the delegates evenly enough that no one has a majority (though McCain would probably have the fewest of those three and Romney would still have some). In that case, the convention ends up brokered, but that assumes a much stronger late Giuliani campaign than most, myself included, are expecting.

Remember, with the Democrats state victories are not nessesary, all they have to do is finish a close second.

[Sam Spade]

Don't forget, Super.  Michigan is an open primary.  Indys can vote there.

I doubt the Dem Convention is brokered.

[The Duke]

Democratic Convention not likely to be brokered.  This is a two way race, and it will break one way or the other (It looks to be leaning for Hillary, but I would have said the opposite five days ago).

Republicans?  Maybe.  Mitt wins Nevada?  Its possible.  Thaty offsets some of McCain wining Michigan.  Huck hangs on in South Carolina.  Rudy's voters in Florida will flee him.  They will go to who?  McCain?  Romney?  Mitt will win Utah and Massachusetts on Mega-Tuesday.  Paul will have delegates.  Rudy, Fred, and Hunter will as well.  Will they have enough to keep anyone from getting a majority?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I doubt it, but I bet both races go on past Feb. 5.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

No. Hillary will be their nominee, as I have said all along.

The GOP side could be broken, but I think McCain has the best chance to be the one that gets it if Rudy's strategy is an utter failure. Huckabee is too controversial to get all the support behind him right now.