NM: Survey USA: Clinton leads Giuliani by 4

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: New Mexico President by Survey USA on 2007-11-19

Summary: D: 48%, R: 44%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Floridude]

At risk of sounding like a republican hack, I think that the change in favor of Clinton is largely due to the differences in sampling between the October Poll and this one

October Poll: Rep: 37% Dem 46% Ind: 16%

November: Rep: 32% Dem 51% Ind 16%

I dont know which is more accurate, it could be that the actual party identifcation is closer to the November numbers, but either way, it looks more like Clinton maintaining a 4 pt lead or Giuliani "maintaining" a 1 point lead rather than New Mexico swinging to Clinton in the last month.

Also interesting how poorly Obama does against Giuliani and McCain

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

44% Giuliani

48% Clinton

8% Undecided



40% Romney

52% Clinton

8% Undecided



39% Huckabee

53% Clinton

8% Undecided



48% McCain

45% Clinton

7% Undecided



49% Giuliani

41% Obama

9% Undecided



41% Romney

49% Obama

10% Undecided



38% Huckabee

50% Obama

13% Undecided



50% McCain

40% Obama

9% Undecided

[Person Man]

Yes, this poll seems pretty normal. I see NM going about 2 points left of the national average.