Whose moron-fueled InTrade bubble will pop first?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'll say Gore, once he's not on the ballot in NH and still not in the race a week from Iowa, those idiots might finally wise up.

[Erc]

Gore's at least has the potential to go all the way to the convention, while Paul's is guaranteed to burst after NH (or after Feb 5, at the very latest)

[© tweed]

Paul is more likely to stay at 6-8 for a longer period of time, but Gore will still be trading at 1-2 in May and June.  so it depends what you mean by "bubble."

[Mr. Morden]

Paul is more likely to stay at 6-8 for a longer period of time, but Gore will still be trading at 1-2 in May and June.  so it depends what you mean by "bubble."

Yeah, I more or less agree with that.  Many of the Gore delusions probably involve a coup at the convention or something like that, which means that he could still be trading at 1-2 well into the spring.  Whereas the Paul delusions actually involve him winning primaries.  So once it's clear that he isn't getting votes, his Intrade price will collapse.

Btw, here's an example of those Paul delusions:

http://www.freemarketnews.com/WorldNews.asp?nid=50713&fb=1

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