Nebraska Republican Party Ben Nelson poll

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

http://www.omaha.com/article/20101109/NEWS01/101109701/1101

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The Nebraska republican party poll shows Nelson with 50% favorable, 43% unfavorable. He trails Jon Bruning by 15 points but the article doesn't give exact figures..

[Antonio the Sixth]

I couldn't care less whether Nelson wins reelection or not. On the smae register, anyone - Rep or Dem - with a shot to kick out Lieberman will get my wholehearted endorsement.

[Holmes]

Likely voters two years out? I wonder if they pushed leaners.

[Stranger in a strange land]

This really seems to mean that Nelson's reelection will depend on the national environment. He was able to get through 2006 with no problems because of a good national environment for democrats and a weak opponent. It all depends on how the economy and Obama are perceived in two years. Impossible to say at this point.

[Brittain33]

I'm kind of shocked that a Republican group can't commission a straight-up, no-b.s. poll showing Nelson losing substantially to Generic Republican X at this date instead of having to fudge their results like this.

[Eraserhead]

I fully support a hopeless kamikaze primary challenge here. Maybe Chuck Hagel can do it. lolzzzz.

[Stranger in a strange land]

I fully support a hopeless kamikaze primary challenge here. Maybe Chuck Hagel can do it. lolzzzz.

Actually, if the last cycle is any guide, Bruning will lose the GOP primary to a little-known Tea Party-backed extremist, who will then go on to lose in the general by 1-2 points, while polls show Bruning would have won by 10 points or more.

[dmmidmi]

Likely voters two years out? I wonder if they pushed leaners.

This. Using a likely voter model at this stage is absolutely useless.

[Brittain33]

I fully support a hopeless kamikaze primary challenge here. Maybe Chuck Hagel can do it. lolzzzz.

Actually, if the last cycle is any guide, Bruning will lose the GOP primary to a little-known Tea Party-backed extremist, who will then go on to lose in the general by 1-2 points, while polls show Bruning would have won by 10 points or more.

You have more faith in Nelson (or less faith in mainstream NE voters) than I do.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I fully support a hopeless kamikaze primary challenge here. Maybe Chuck Hagel can do it. lolzzzz.

Actually, if the last cycle is any guide, Bruning will lose the GOP primary to a little-known Tea Party-backed extremist, who will then go on to lose in the general by 1-2 points, while polls show Bruning would have won by 10 points or more.

If he does, then Bruning must be the second coming for Trey Grayson.

Bruning was running for Hagel's seat, and before he got out for Mike Johanns, he actually geared up for a primary challenge and was running to the right of Johanns. He should be able to make himself the tea party candidate.