GA gains estimated net 13,500 of likely D voters since 2020 from interstate migration
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  GA gains estimated net 13,500 of likely D voters since 2020 from interstate migration
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Author Topic: GA gains estimated net 13,500 of likely D voters since 2020 from interstate migration  (Read 363 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: April 30, 2024, 10:04:43 AM »

More Democratic voters move to Georgia ahead of upcoming elections

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Georgia gained about 13,500 more likely Democratic voters than Republican voters since the last presidential election, according to an analysis by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution of voter registration data from L2, a political data vendor.
...
Over the past three years, about 140,000 registered voters moved to Georgia, according to the analysis. When accounting for Georgia voters who moved away, the state had a net gain of about 30,000 voters. Roughly two out of every three of these new voters are likely Democrats, accounting for about 19,500 voters. About 6,000 of the new voters are likely Republican voters, while the remainder were not registered with a political party in their prior state or belonged to third parties.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2024, 10:14:37 AM »

That’s 2,000 more then the margin in 2020

safe d
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wnwnwn
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« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2024, 11:17:57 AM »

What about the other swing states?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2024, 11:30:12 AM »

If these estimates are right that's only a ~0.3% swing to Dems all else being equal assuming these people all vote. I would honestly expect something a bit bigger because you also have to consider out-state migration and people dying which probably helps Dems. Most of rural GA is stagnant or bleeding population.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: April 30, 2024, 11:56:26 AM »

What about the other swing states?

The AJC (the state's flagship newspaper) was probably only interested in Georgia.
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« Reply #5 on: April 30, 2024, 12:20:34 PM »

Such a small change will easily be subsumed by any national trends.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: April 30, 2024, 06:36:06 PM »

As long as they vote it could matter.
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