Split Ticket: Trump+2

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CodkDPdTDcQP07NAAXHNM0XpY0GbHdiO/edit?pli=1#gid=1660140391

Trump 39
Biden 37
RFK Jr 11

March 25-28, 821 LV

However, they seem a bit skeptical of these results; see writeup at https://split-ticket.org/2024/04/15/chaos-in-the-crosstabs/.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah if RFK gets 11 pts which ain't happening

[Matty]

Isn’t this only a poll of young voters?

[soundchaser]

The write-up is really interesting — I highly suggest everyone here read it before commenting on the poll. If nothing else, it’s a fascinating look into the operations of a particular pollster.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Isn’t this only a poll of young voters?

No, it's a national poll with an oversample of young voters (so as to get a decent sample size within that subgroup -- it's reweighted correctly to the overall sample so as not to distort the overall result).

As soundchaser said, the article is highly worth reading.  Really good look at the nuts and bolts.  If Pollster is around, it would be great to see his comments on it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This proves the WSJ and Heritage polls are junk Trump isn't ahead by 7% in NV if he is only ahead by 2%

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Gonna be a fun next 200 days...

[wbrocks67]

Technically the results are Trump 41, Biden 40, RFK 16 with leaners included