NJ-SEN (FDU): Kim +10 / +9

[wbrocks67]

Kim (D) 49%
Serrano Glassner (R) 39%

Kim (D) 47%
Bashaw (R) 38%

Kim (D) 45%
Serrano Glassner (R) 39%
Menendez (I) 7%

Kim (D) 44%
Bashaw (R) 38%
Menendez (I) 6%

https://newjerseyglobe.com/polling/fdu-poll-finds-kim-with-general-election-lead-but-menendez-could-cause-problems/

[Roll Roons]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

[Sir Mohamed]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

39% might be close to what the GOP candidate will get in the end.

[Senator Incitatus]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

39% might be close to what the GOP candidate will get in the end.

Even Rik Mehta got 41%. I bet the Republican (probably Bashaw) gets closer to 45%.

[Roll Roons]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

39% might be close to what the GOP candidate will get in the end.

Even Rik Mehta got 41%. I bet the Republican (probably Bashaw) gets closer to 45%.

Yeah, 41% is the general floor for NJ Republicans, though I think 45 might be a bit generous. I’ll say they end up with around 43%.

[Senator Incitatus]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

39% might be close to what the GOP candidate will get in the end.

Even Rik Mehta got 41%. I bet the Republican (probably Bashaw) gets closer to 45%.

Yeah, 41% is the general floor for NJ Republicans, though I think 45 might be a bit generous. I’ll say they end up with around 43%.

Well, 43% is closer to 45 than to 39, so that’s in line with my post.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Menendez is not getting anywhere near that much of the vote.

Kim will win comfortably by the typical mid-teens margin. He just needs to get his name recognition up.

[lfromnj]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

39% might be close to what the GOP candidate will get in the end.

I don't think a statewide NJ R  in any race(gov/sen/pres) has gotten below 40% since 1989. It's probably relatively close though around 41ish but still an interesting fact about NJ.

[Sir Mohamed]

Bit closer then I thought it might be.

39% might be close to what the GOP candidate will get in the end.

I don't think a statewide NJ R  in any race(gov/sen/pres) has gotten below 40% since 1989. It's probably relatively close though around 41ish but still an interesting fact about NJ.

What I meant is that 39% might be close to the number the GOP candidate will receive in the end. I expect them to break 40% and finish in low 40s territory.