YouGov/Economist: Trump +2

[wbrocks67]

Trump (R) 44%
Biden (D) 42%
Other 7%
Not sure 5%
I would not vote 3%

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_nmFBeqb.pdf

Was 44-44 last week. Might be a bit more GOP-leaning sample this week; the GCB also moved to R+2 this week, was D+1 last week

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

More realistic result than last poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

More realistic result than last poll.

Lol it MOE, yes Biden +1 is so different than Trump +2 with 200 days left our VBM in blue states are far superior than Rs how many times do we have to tell you this the Eday isn't over with Trump +2/5 pts

[Redban]

They continue to shortchange RFK Jr, who will not finish below 10%

Trump 44
Biden 42
RFK Jr 1.96
West 0.77
Stein 0.35
Other 1.89
Unsure, but not Biden or Trump 2.03
Unsure 5
Won't vote 3

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not even a PVI Eday it's an Electoral college Eday

[Hollywood]

Trump (R) 44%
Biden (D) 42%
Other 7%
Not sure 5%
I would not vote 3%

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_nmFBeqb.pdf

Was 44-44 last week. Might be a bit more GOP-leaning sample this week; the GCB also moved to R+2 this week, was D+1 last week

You should look at page 57.  According to the methodology, they indicate a 33-31% Democrat advantage to reflect the party distribution on November 1, 2022.  When you look at the numbers, Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 6%.  It was 8% in the last poll.  Trump is winning due to Indies.

[Tekken_Guy]

Aligns with the NPV average.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Aligns with the NPV average.

Our D turnout can wipe out any Trump +2 lead what happened last time all Trump leads were small and wiped out