Most Conservative Cities and Counties in America
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Author Topic: Most Conservative Cities and Counties in America  (Read 593 times)
ReaganLimbaugh
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« on: January 14, 2024, 07:01:13 PM »

Your thoughts
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mileslunn
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2024, 02:38:30 PM »

For counties, they would all be tiny sparsely populated ones mostly in Plains, Texas and a few in Mountain West.  I guess maybe some overwhelmingly white rural ones in Deep South.  For Cities I would say following and here looking at large ones of metro areas over 500K as many smaller cities quite a bit more conservative like Lubbock, Amarillo.

Provo is without question most conservative metro area over 500K and largely because strongly Mormon.  Some other close runner ups

Bakersfield
Colorado Springs
Tulsa
Oklahoma City
Jacksonville

I would have put Cincinnati in this a decade ago but it has swung left since so while more conservative than most metro areas its size, it doesn't stand out as much as it used to.  Houston and Phoenix also for over a million are fairly conservative despite still going Democrat but closer than most their size.
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satsuma
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2024, 06:28:46 PM »

Below 500k, but Texas cities can be extremely Republican relative to being a "city" (as in, center of the region's commerce) at all, especially to the west or east of the triangle, and farther from the border.

2020 presidential (city limits)
Midland +52.6, Amarillo +46, Odessa +44.5, Abilene +38.2, San Angelo +36.4, Wichita Falls +31.3, Longview +28.7, Lubbock +25, Tyler +17.7

An Eastern US equivalent might be the Tri-Cities in Eastern Tennessee. But this is largely Southern culture + not enough black vote to counter-balance + not urban enough to be upper-middle-class blue-swing central.

The basic question of where Republicans get the biggest % margins is answered every election, and rural West Texas is undefeated, with Roberts County +93.1

If you wanted to go beyond voting, there's the question of where conservative lifestyles are most common, and many people would claim it's in Amish communities. You know, those West Texas ranchers rely on illegal immigrant labor, and the FLDS are polygamous.
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Sol
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2024, 07:25:04 PM »

There are a lot of super-conservative rural areas, but if you want places that are super-robustly conservative on all issues, you can't go wrong in looking at mostly white suburban and exurban areas in the south, especially in smaller metros.

My personal pick would be the outer suburban parishes of New Orleans and Baton Rouge, places like Livingston Parish, northern and western Ascension Parish, and St. Tammany Parish. These areas imo beat out the competition by virtue of their close ties to fossil fuel economies, and for whatever reason seem to produce quite a lot of quite right-wing political figures.
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JoeyJoeJoe
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2024, 07:29:13 PM »

I would look at counties where right wing 3rd party candidates get more votes than Democrats.  A number of counties in Idaho and Wyoming are like that, based on the 2022 elections.
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Sumner 1868
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2024, 08:15:21 PM »

The margins have thinned, but Trump held Huntington Beach both times.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2024, 12:27:27 AM »

Charleston West Virginia; Colorado Springs CO, Provo Utah, Bakersfield Ca, Spokane Wa, Boise Idaho, Tulsa Oklahoma, Oklahoma City; Ft Myers Florida; Knoxville, Tennessee; Chattanooga Tennessee; Fort Wayne Indiana; Dayton Ohio; Corpus Christie Texas; Pensacola Florida; Mobile Alabama; Huntsville Alabama, Fort Wayne, Texas; Tampa Bay Florida; Jacksonville Fl. many others but this is a good start..
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mileslunn
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« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2024, 01:08:09 AM »

Charleston West Virginia; Colorado Springs CO, Provo Utah, Bakersfield Ca, Spokane Wa, Boise Idaho, Tulsa Oklahoma, Oklahoma City; Ft Myers Florida; Knoxville, Tennessee; Chattanooga Tennessee; Fort Wayne Indiana; Dayton Ohio; Corpus Christie Texas; Pensacola Florida; Mobile Alabama; Huntsville Alabama, Fort Wayne, Texas; Tampa Bay Florida; Jacksonville Fl. many others but this is a good start..

Charleston, Spokane, Boise, Tulsa, Knoxville, Chattanooga, Fort Wayne, Dayton, Pensacola, Mobile, Huntsville, Tampa, and Jacksonville all voted for Biden even if Trump won county in most cases.  In fact in case of Spokane, Boise, Chattanooga, Dayton, Mobile, and Tampa, Biden won by double digit margins.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #8 on: January 16, 2024, 01:12:47 AM »

Charleston West Virginia; Colorado Springs CO, Provo Utah, Bakersfield Ca, Spokane Wa, Boise Idaho, Tulsa Oklahoma, Oklahoma City; Ft Myers Florida; Knoxville, Tennessee; Chattanooga Tennessee; Fort Wayne Indiana; Dayton Ohio; Corpus Christie Texas; Pensacola Florida; Mobile Alabama; Huntsville Alabama, Fort Wayne, Texas; Tampa Bay Florida; Jacksonville Fl. many others but this is a good start..

Charleston, Spokane, Boise, Tulsa, Knoxville, Chattanooga, Fort Wayne, Dayton, Pensacola, Mobile, Huntsville, Tampa, and Jacksonville all voted for Biden even if Trump won county in most cases.  In fact in case of Spokane, Boise, Chattanooga, Dayton, Mobile, and Tampa, Biden won by double digit margins.
you asked about counties I answered..
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #9 on: January 16, 2024, 01:13:14 AM »

Charleston West Virginia; Colorado Springs CO, Provo Utah, Bakersfield Ca, Spokane Wa, Boise Idaho, Tulsa Oklahoma, Oklahoma City; Ft Myers Florida; Knoxville, Tennessee; Chattanooga Tennessee; Fort Wayne Indiana; Dayton Ohio; Corpus Christie Texas; Pensacola Florida; Mobile Alabama; Huntsville Alabama, Fort Wayne, Texas; Tampa Bay Florida; Jacksonville Fl. many others but this is a good start..

Charleston, Spokane, Boise, Tulsa, Knoxville, Chattanooga, Fort Wayne, Dayton, Pensacola, Mobile, Huntsville, Tampa, and Jacksonville all voted for Biden even if Trump won county in most cases.  In fact in case of Spokane, Boise, Chattanooga, Dayton, Mobile, and Tampa, Biden won by double digit margins.
I said Tamba Bay, not Tampa.
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ottermax
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« Reply #10 on: January 16, 2024, 01:41:34 AM »

One interesting thing to consider is if you are looking for the most conservative high-density communities in the US they are all in New York City area - mostly Hasidic Jewish communities such as Lakewood, NJ or Kiryas Joel, or Borough Park, Brooklyn.

Another thing to consider would be where is the highest margin of absolute vote in a city. My guess would be a city like Provo with very high turnout but it might be somewhere like Tulsa.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #11 on: January 16, 2024, 11:19:10 AM »

Most conservative in the religious sense: eastern Idaho's Mormon belt
Most conservative in the racist sense: the white parts of far east Texas (Orange County, etc.)
Most conservative in the "whatever Trump says is conservative" sense: southern West Virginia
Most conservative in the pro-cop sense: Italian parts of the northeast
Most conservative in the homophobic sense: South Texas
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #12 on: January 16, 2024, 12:05:40 PM »

In terms of ideologically conservative counties, I would look at highly Republican outer suburbs in the South.  A couple places I'd nominate:

Montgomery County, Texas
Shelby County, Alabama
Cherokee County, Georgia
Rankin County, Mississippi
Basically all of Upstate South Carolina except Downtown Greenville

My vote would be Montgomery, Texas.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #13 on: January 16, 2024, 12:06:44 PM »

Most conservative in the religious sense: eastern Idaho's Mormon belt
Most conservative in the racist sense: the white parts of far east Texas (Orange County, etc.)
Most conservative in the "whatever Trump says is conservative" sense: southern West Virginia
Most conservative in the pro-cop sense: Italian parts of the northeast
Most conservative in the homophobic sense: South Texas


Homophobic Id specify *rural* south TX. I would not consider McAllen to be at the top of the list for homophobic places, though certainly higher than normal for a city of its size.
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cg41386
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« Reply #14 on: January 16, 2024, 02:28:31 PM »

Mesa, Arizona
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Sol
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« Reply #15 on: January 16, 2024, 03:25:42 PM »

Why exactly are people choosing South Texas as "most homophobic?" That seems extremely unlikely.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #16 on: January 16, 2024, 04:09:07 PM »

Why exactly are people choosing South Texas as "most homophobic?" That seems extremely unlikely.

Yeah, Hispanics in Texas are probably less homophobic than the state's Anglos (though a lot still depends on how urban or rural an area is).
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