NH (St. Anselm): Trump +14, Biden +40

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

"Biden is going to lose New Hampshire"

Literally no one is arguing this. The fact that you're crowing about an incumbent president winning a primary versus a bunch of no names is a sad indictment.

People on this site were arguing that Biden could lose New Hampshire because of the primary being moved, and less than two months ago at that. Not all that many, but it certainly wasn’t “literally no one”. One example I found in two minutes of searching:

He has a chance of winning New Hampshire.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

If Christie drops out after Iowa, Haley would have a shot at beating Trump.

Not by a lot, but maybe by 43-42 or something.

[xavier110]

Nikki could do this if Chris GTFO.

[oldtimer]

There looks to be some real momentum for Haley in NH, but I can't see her winning until Christie drops out beforehand, which seems unlikely.

It works both ways, if Vivek or DeSantis drop after Iowa Trump would be over 50 in NH.

The race is basically Trump hovering around 50 and the other 50 switching between flavours of the month.

[wbrocks67]

"Biden is going to lose New Hampshire"

Literally no one is arguing this. The fact that you're crowing about an incumbent president winning a primary versus a bunch of no names is a sad indictment.

He's referencing the numerous pundit articles about New Hampshire and how being on a write-in would let someone like Philips win. Keep up.

[Sir Mohamed]

Once Trump has clobbered his rivals in IA, he will cruise to victory in NH as well. And even if Haley exceeds expectations, there's no path to the nomination whatsoever.

Biden should have entered his name in the NH contest. Why didn't they actually? Fear of getting embarrassed?

[2016]

Saint Anselm College Poll (October 28-29 2022)

Don Bolduc (R) 48 %
Senator Maggie Hassan (D) 47 %

Result

Hassan (D) 53,50 %
Bolduc (R) 44,43 %

This Poll was off 13 Points in the NH Senate Race 2022!

[OSR stands with Israel]

AncestralDemocrat is sooo wrong on everything.

Haleys showing in Iowa means nothing for NH because they are totally different States and have completely different Electorates.

Winning IA and NH on the Republican Side hasn't been done since Bob Dole 1996 I believe.

2000: GWB wins IA, McCain NH
2008: Huckabee wins IA, McCain NH
2012: Santorum wins IA, Romney NH
2016: Cruz wins IA, Trump NH

Not even in 1996 as Dole won IA and Buchanan won NH. The last time someone has won both without being an elected incumbent was Ford in 1976.

1980: GHWB wins IA , Reagan NH
1988: Dole wins IA, GHWB NH
1996: Dole wins IA, Buchanan NH

[2016]

AncestralDemocrat is sooo wrong on everything.

Haleys showing in Iowa means nothing for NH because they are totally different States and have completely different Electorates.

Winning IA and NH on the Republican Side hasn't been done since Bob Dole 1996 I believe.

2000: GWB wins IA, McCain NH
2008: Huckabee wins IA, McCain NH
2012: Santorum wins IA, Romney NH
2016: Cruz wins IA, Trump NH

Not even in 1996 as Dole won IA and Buchanan won NH. The last time someone has won both without being an elected incumbent was Ford in 1976.

1980: GHWB wins IA , Reagan NH
1988: Dole wins IA, GHWB NH
1996: Dole wins IA, Buchanan NH

As I mentioned above the Saint-Anselm College Poll was 13-Points off in the New Hampshire Senate Race 2022 between Hassan and Bolduc. Saint-Anselm is also a left-wing college.

They probably polled 90 % of Democrats, lol