Who gets more Arab votes in 2024?

[Tekken_Guy]

Who, amongst Biden and Trump, gets more votes with Arabs in 2024?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Trump will probably win them by a small margin. Iirc over 60% of Arabs in the US are Christian anyway.

[GregTheGreat657]

They'll swing right, but still be more for Biden than Trump

[Pres Mike]

Biden. I am Arab American. I love Biden and plan to vote for him again. That said, a lot will stay home. They wont vote for Trump lol

[Ferguson97]

Biden (sane, not delusional)

[Progressive Pessimist]

Christian Arabs probably got as much s*** as actual Muslims in the period between 2001 and 2020, too.

Remember that Oak Creek, Wisconsin shooting where someone targeting Muslims shot up a Sikh temple?

I'm sure that the demographic has depolarized a bit, as many minority groups have, but I still find it hard to see many so easily forgiving how the GOP demonized anyone who looks like them for the better part of almost two decades.

[Senator Incitatus]

Possibly still Biden; something interesting about the Arab population is that they still live almost entirely in the most Democratic regions of the country. Like the Portuguese, Italians, and Irish, that makes them a lot more Republican than their surroundings but a lot less than you would expect from their cultural baseline.

the GOP demonized anyone who looks like them for the better part of almost two decades

Have you seen a Lebanese person before? Like ever?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Feel practically certain that Biden would get more. But his margins among them probably decline if this is still going on in 2024.

[Agafin]

Turnout will decline. Third parties will be stronger with them than national numbers. But in the end, Biden still prevails. Something like:
Biden: 46
Trump: 31
RFK: 15
West: 6
Other: 2

[pbrower2a]

Most Arab-Americans recognize Hamas at fault for suicidal behavior that, if done by the Other Side, would have completely disgraced "the Zionists".

We have had a surprising alliance between Jews and Arabs in American politics. Arab-Americans are often here to escape corrupt, incompetent, despotic regimes that American Jews also despise. Both recognize that antisemitism and Islamophobia are opposite sides of the same counterfeit coin.

[SnowLabrador]

Probably Trump, but it'll be more due to left-leaning Arabs staying home than vote-switching. That being said, Michigan's the only swing state where this is likely to be decisive (which is still a pretty big blow to Biden's reelection chances, don't get me wrong.)

[Galeel]

Biden will still win IMO, but with severely reduced margins compared to 2020.

[oldtimer]

It would still be Biden, but turnout would be much lower.

How would the White Liberal vote be affected by the Palestinian issue is more important.

[Splash]

Well, with outreach like this, who can say for certain? /s

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1720545414108025163

[Progressive Pessimist]

Well, with outreach like this, who can say for certain? /s

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1720545414108025163

Seriously, I know it's a cliched addage, but Arabs/Palestine sympathizers cannot let perfect be the enemy of good.

[Xing]

Definitely still Biden. His margin could be smaller due to third party voting, but I don’t see swaths flocking to Trump.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Biden is still the favorite (although that 17% statistic is terrible news for Biden). The most likely scenario is that many of them who vote will vote for West. They may be mad at Biden for supporting Israel, but I doubt they'll switch to the architect of the Muslim ban.

[Reactionary Libertarian]

Trump will probably win them by a small margin. Iirc over 60% of Arabs in the US are Christian anyway.

This. Majority of Arab Americans are Levantine Christians AKA White Ethnics. Trump should win them but by less than he wins other whites. Obviously he’ll lose Muslims.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Arab Americans turned off by Biden’s action in the Middle East would sooner not vote for either then vote for Trump

[DavidB.]

RFK Jr could actually have taken a sizeable chunk of them if he'd taken the anti-Western conspiracy theory lane, but to his credit he is apparently pro-Israel too, like Biden and Trump.

[DS0816]

Who, amongst Biden and Trump, gets more votes with Arabs in 2024?

I do not feel certain.

If Election 2024 ends up a Republican pickup of the presidency … the votes by Arab Americans will generally shift in the direction of the Republicans.

In my home state Michigan, a leading bellwether state in the 2020 Democratic column for Joe Biden by just over 154k votes, approximately 210k of its residents are Arab Americans.

That is interesting.


Source:
https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/arab-population-by-state