Texas - TxPolProject - Trump +8

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1717149954907554021?t=pYvWVnA-LlSXZ_gIYGm...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are gonna win TX thanks to TRUMP  in 400 days, Rev Barber is working hard to elect ALLRED right now

If TX is within 8 Trump is behind in WI, MI and PA

[oldtimer]

With this poll the average in Texas becomes about the same as in Iowa and Ohio.

No movement from 2016 and 2020 between those 3.

[Skill and Chance]

Right where I would expect it to be.  Would like to see cross tabs to know if this is from further rural improvement or from Houston being more like 2012 than 2020.

[Redban]

8% is more in line with Abbott's 2022 and Coryn's 2020 wins. An improvement from Trump 2020,  but it's still far from the George W. Bush 2000-2004 and Romney 2012 margins

Why does that matter? Because of all the Democrats wishful thoughts that, "Trump lost his electoral college advantage. The national polling lead doesn't mean he'll win" ... Unlike NY, Texas is one of the states that actually can affect the national poll numbers. Had Trump been at 15-20% ahead in Texas, then you might have to wonder if his national polling lead was partly coming from a state like Texas instead of the battlegrounds

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Right where I would expect it to be.  Would like to see cross tabs to know if this is from further rural improvement or from Houston being more like 2012 than 2020.

I expect Tarrant to flip back. (Williamson is gone though).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With this poll the average in Texas becomes about the same as in Iowa and Ohio.

No movement from 2016 and 2020 between those 3.

Ohio isn't a 9 pt state with DeWine off the ballot it's 5 pt D state

Users don't believe In waves it goes up to 538 not 300 and it's 400 days and Trump is an INDICTED FELON. There a lot of Anger towards Trump especially among homeless Spanish and blks and white females, period, that work at Walmart, not Law firms


Redban doesn't know how much anger there is against Trump these are polls not votes look how off 22 was it was supposed to be a red Wave

[Progressive Pessimist]

Yeah, as I expected, it's not happening this year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, as I expected, it's not happening this year.

400 days and Trump maybe convicted these polls are so silly keep polling 4⁰0 days away, you know Eday is 400bdayscawy, right?

TX is a wave insurance seat

[Redban]

They actually polled the non-Trump candidates vs Biden too. Trump is outperforming almost all of them significantly vs Biden. Although apparently Texas has some Pence-Mania. Pence leads Biden by 7%

DeSantis 39%
Biden 38%

Ramaswamy 36%
Biden 33%

Haley 34%
Biden  32%

Tim Scott 34%
Biden 33%

Pence 36%
Biden 29%

[Arizona Iced Tea]

2018 Beto was honestly Dems best chance their in a decade. They had it all basically- blue wave, unpopular incumbent, major shifts in the suburbs, still strong with minorities and in the RGV, and high turnout in urban areas and fell short by over 200k votes. It's going to take a while to find another approach as the hispanic shift continues, and minority turnout continues to collapse.

[Red Wall]

+8 and Texas polls underestimate Republicans so it's close to +11-12

[TodayJunior]

Realistically it’s not going to flip, but when the dust settles, I expect this to be on the verge of becoming a true battleground, not too dissimilar from Colorado in 2004, perceived as a red state at the time and didn’t get a lot of attention from Kerry, but the final results were much closer than expected.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Realistically it’s not going to flip, but when the dust settles, I expect this to be on the verge of becoming a true battleground, not too dissimilar from Colorado in 2004, perceived as a red state at the time and didn’t get a lot of attention from Kerry, but the final results were much closer than expected.

It's not over til the votes are counted, Maps are blank on Eday as I keep telling users that