Which state will Biden receive the most raw votes in?
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  Which state will Biden receive the most raw votes in? 		« previous next »
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Poll
Question: (Excluding California obviously)
#1
Texas		  
#2
Florida		  
#3
New York		  
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Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: Which state will Biden receive the most raw votes in?  (Read 895 times)
Snowstalker Mk. II
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« on: September 19, 2023, 10:00:20 AM »
« edited: September 19, 2023, 01:24:11 PM by Snowstalker Mk. II »
In 2020 Biden received 30,000 more votes in Florida than in Texas, and about 15,000 more votes in Texas than New York, due to Florida having much higher turnout than the other two states.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2023, 10:46:04 AM »
NY and then TX because of Paxton Acquittal, Cruz is vulnerable again
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Respect and Compassion
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2023, 11:31:25 AM »
His vote totals will drop in those three states, but Texas will be the one with the highest total for him because I expect the drop to be even more severe in Florida. New York will see a drop that allows Trump to get a Joe Pinion vs Chuck Schumer 2022 type margin.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2023, 03:07:27 PM »
I currently have TX > NY > FL
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2023, 07:51:09 AM »
Probably Texas. I have Joe Biden narrowly winning Texas by around 10,000 votes, though Greg Abbott will certify Texas as 51-48 for Donald Trump. New York I think will be 51-47 in favor of Joe Biden, while Florida I have going for Donald Trump 54-44.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2023, 08:03:14 PM »
TX even if he doesn't really get a swing his way. The state had some of the lowest turnout in the 2020 election and is likely to see increased investment due to the Senate race. FL on the other hand is likely to see dramatically less investment in 2024 and is a strong candidate for some of the strongest turnout drop-offs. NY is also a state with unreliable turnout patterns and a strong candidate for Biden to lose ground from 2020.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2023, 02:04:48 AM »
New York, Florida, Texas.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2023, 09:36:03 AM »
Almost certainly TX at this point, even if Biden doesn't improve his margin of 2020.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2023, 10:21:27 AM »
Quote from: MATTROSE94 on September 20, 2023, 07:51:09 AM
Probably Texas. I have Joe Biden narrowly winning Texas by around 10,000 votes, though Greg Abbott will certify Texas as 51-48 for Donald Trump. New York I think will be 51-47 in favor of Joe Biden, while Florida I have going for Donald Trump 54-44.

Seek help
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caf_elections
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2023, 12:58:19 PM »
Quote from: MATTROSE94 on September 20, 2023, 07:51:09 AM
Probably Texas. I have Joe Biden narrowly winning Texas by around 10,000 votes, though Greg Abbott will certify Texas as 51-48 for Donald Trump. New York I think will be 51-47 in favor of Joe Biden, while Florida I have going for Donald Trump 54-44.

What did MATTROSE94 mean by this.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2023, 01:52:01 PM »
Biden winning Texas while also only winning New York by under 5% is so cool
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cherry mandarin
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« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2023, 04:50:48 PM »
Quote from: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 19, 2023, 10:00:20 AM
In which of the following states will Biden receive his highest quantity of pure votes counted?

Apart from California, obviously Texas. Its population  is growing  at a much faster rate  than  New York's, and it's trending leftward  while  NY gets redder  at  an alarmingly high pace.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
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« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2023, 04:38:40 PM »
Quote from: caf_elections on September 21, 2023, 12:58:19 PM
Quote from: MATTROSE94 on September 20, 2023, 07:51:09 AM
Probably Texas. I have Joe Biden narrowly winning Texas by around 10,000 votes, though Greg Abbott will certify Texas as 51-48 for Donald Trump. New York I think will be 51-47 in favor of Joe Biden, while Florida I have going for Donald Trump 54-44.

What did MATTROSE94 mean by this.

Probably something along the lines of Harris' results being overturned with the new law state Republicans passed giving them the ability to nullify results in counties with over 3 million people.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #13 on: September 30, 2023, 10:09:53 PM »

This precisely.
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cherry mandarin
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« Reply #14 on: December 02, 2023, 05:38:56 PM »
Quote from: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 19, 2023, 10:00:20 AM
In 2020 Biden received 30,000 more votes in Florida than in Texas, and about 15,000 more votes in Texas than New York, due to Florida having much higher turnout than the other two states.

Of the three choices you listed above? Texas, followed by Florida and then New York.
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