Why did Bill Clinton win AZ in 1996?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 03:59:08 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Why did Bill Clinton win AZ in 1996?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Why did Bill Clinton win AZ in 1996?  (Read 573 times)
Blow by blow, the passion dies
LeonelBrizola
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,517
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 11, 2022, 07:23:19 PM »
Arizona hadn't voted Democratic for the longest
Logged
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,505


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2022, 08:05:38 PM »
He had already come very close in 1992, and he contested this state in 1996 in order to flip it. Geographically, he won by increasing his vote share in Maricopa & Pima Counties, along with Northern Arizona.
Logged
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,717
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

P P P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2022, 12:28:05 AM »
He was moderate enough and appealed to the Sun Belt.
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,461


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2022, 11:40:01 AM »
He won nationally by 8.51 which was enough to flip the state.  From 1992-2004 Arizona was pretty consistently in the range of 6-8 points more GOP than the nation as a whole. 
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2022, 12:57:50 PM »
Hispanics.
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,056


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2022, 01:57:09 PM »
Greatest Generation retirees concerned about GOP threats to Social Security.
Logged
E-Dawg
Guy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2022, 02:17:15 PM »
It's interesting how the state went Bush 92 Clinton 96, but the only actual county flip between the two elections voted the opposite way. Cochise County went Clinton 92 Dole 96.

Same deal as Burke County GA (A Clinton 2016 Trump 2020 county) being the only county flip in Georgia in spite of that state voting Trump 2016 Biden 2020.
Logged
TheElectoralBoobyPrize
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,539


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2022, 04:49:40 PM »
The real question is how Dole won CO and only lost NV by 1 at the same time he was losing Arizona by 3. Obviously, Clinton really targeted the state as it had the longest streak of voting GOP at the time.
Logged
MargieCat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,583
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2022, 07:56:48 PM »
He also had an "assist" from Ross Perot, in his own words.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.217 seconds with 10 queries.