MI-07 Target Insyght: Slotkin +18
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  MI-07 Target Insyght: Slotkin +18
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Author Topic: MI-07 Target Insyght: Slotkin +18  (Read 839 times)
Boobs
HCP
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« on: September 15, 2022, 10:44:09 PM »

link

Slotkin 56
Barrett 38


Poll also found:

Favor abortion rights 59
Anti-abortion 35

Slotkin favorable 51
Slotkin unfavorable 31

Barrett favorable 32
Barrett unfavorable 45

Whitmer favorable 52
Whitmer unfavorable 44

Dixon favorable 28
Dixon unfavorable 51


Shock poll?
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S019
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2022, 10:48:07 PM »

I don't believe those topline numbers and wish we had an actual link to the poll. I would buy Slotkin getting around 51-52% of the vote as her favorability numbers indicate.
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2022, 11:12:31 PM »

It's real, and it's spectacular.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2022, 06:36:53 AM »

I can buy that Slotkin is ahead, but not by this much.  She won’t do any better than the three point win she had in 2020.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2022, 07:16:17 AM »

I always thought Slotkin would overperform generic D but I never bought her actually winning. But I think you can say she's favored now(Obviously +18 is crazy but she's probably ahead by like 3-5)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2022, 07:58:10 AM »

That Dixon # is truly something
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2022, 08:14:30 AM »


Is this a popular culture reference?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2022, 08:22:21 AM »


Seinfeld.
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Gracile
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2022, 11:24:12 AM »

Even if Slotkin wins, I think this poll result will age pretty poorly.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2022, 06:07:19 PM »

I definitely believe that Slotkin is favored as of now, which is kind of crazy to ponder since I used to think (even after redistricting) that she was one of the most vulnerable Democrats, but this is yet another one of many recent polls which show the Democrat winning by a margin that can only happen in a dream of mine. She isn't this favored!
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2022, 06:10:46 PM »


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aQNkeugaAMc
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xavier110
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2022, 03:03:44 PM »

Abortion has dominated the conversation in MI, more so than almost every other state. The Rs are going to be annihilated across the board there, losing a lot of races that should be toss ups or tilt R.

You know it’s bad when Tudor Dixon has been saying, IDGAF about how you vote on the abortion ballot measure, don’t let it influence your other votes, lol.

I wish the same playbook was deployed more effectively across the board in the other swing states. Kelly has effectively pinned Masters down on the issue, but I haven’t seen it really trickle down into a D vs R discourse as much here.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2022, 04:12:52 PM »

We know how districts dominated by university towns are voting in 2022.
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Torie
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« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2022, 04:31:22 PM »

We know how districts dominated by university towns are voting in 2022.

Yes, and Livingston County is pretty upscale as well. Dobbs and the Pub handling of its fallout has not sold well in such zip codes - obviously. The Pubs seem determined to boot away about a score of seats they could have won or had in coin flip status with well a more rational base and sensible leaders with some guts.  But that broken mirror is not going to be glued back together any time soon, if ever.

If inflation had not proved to be as stubborn as it is, gas price declines aside, and a redux of a dip in the stock market, I think think the Dems would have been in the hunt to hold the House. It really is an election that the Pubs deserve to lose, so says this former Pub who still has some slightly right of center instincts on some matters. The party needs a really cold shower that the path to power is closing on them in their current condition.

End of rant.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #14 on: September 17, 2022, 08:05:10 PM »

We know how districts dominated by university towns are voting in 2022.

Safe R. Students are mad that they have to pay $0.25 more for ramen when they are carrying their rapists' baby.
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