WA-SEN (Elway Research/Crosscut): Murray +20

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/PollTrackerUSA/status/1549414060906668033

[wbrocks67]

While the environment has gotten worse for Biden, it's gotten better for Ds:

“We’ve got this horrible voter outlook, Biden is in the tank, Inslee’s numbers hovering near low,” said pollster Stuart Elway. “And yet, in our election numbers the Democrats are doing much better than they were six months ago.”

An Elway Poll released in January showed Murray drawing just 42% support while a generic Republican pulled 39%, with 19% undecided. A question then about which party voters would support among state House and Senate candidates generated a similar margin of support for Democrats and GOP candidates.

[Devils30]

This race is not competitive, the R hype about WA and CO is funny.

[RI]

Just as with the SurveyUSA poll, there's no way Smiley is only pulling in a vote share in the 30s. The undecideds are very R-leaning in these polls.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Further proof that Biden Approvals don't mean much as Rs think they are gonna sweep everything

[ajc0918]

This race was never competitive.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Just as with the SurveyUSA poll, there's no way Smiley is only pulling in a vote share in the 30s. The undecideds are very R-leaning in these polls.

You need the coattails

[GALeftist]

Smiley is one of the most overrated candidates this cycle bar none.

[Xing]

I never got why people thought this race would be competitive, even if Smiley is a decent candidate. It won’t be a 20-point margin for Murray, obviously, but she’ll win comfortably, even if Democrats have a terrible night overall.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I always thought it was asinine to consider this election even slightly competitive for Republicans. And I was saying that even when the environment was worse and more foreboding, like directly after last year's gubernatorial elections.

The DSCC better not put any money here or in Colorado and focus those resources towards the big four and New Hampshire instead.

[Miked0920]

Murray is clearly favored to win, I don't think that it will be a blowout but I think she will beat Tiffany Smiley from Mid Single to Low Double Digits Anywhere from a 5-12 point margin of victory.