NC-11 Survey160 (Beach-Ferrara internal): Edwards +6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 04:30:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2022 Senate & House Election Polls
  NC-11 Survey160 (Beach-Ferrara internal): Edwards +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NC-11 Survey160 (Beach-Ferrara internal): Edwards +6  (Read 334 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 29, 2022, 06:07:22 PM »

https://www.smokymountainnews.com/news/item/33688-first-poll-in-nc-11-predicts-tight-race-between-beach-ferrara-edwards

Chuck Edwards (R) 46%
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D) 40%
David Coatney (L) 6%

Favorabilities:

Chuck Edwards - 36/40
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara - 38/29

308 likely voters, 6% MoE
5/18-5/20
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2022, 06:09:25 PM »

This tells me that if Cawthorn had won the primary, we might have been talking about a Democratic pickup here, even in a GOP wave.
Logged
Unelectable Bystander
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,113
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2022, 07:10:38 PM »

Isn’t this a republican leaning district? This sounds like fake news if the D candidate has positive favorability and the R has negative favorability
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2022, 07:16:29 PM »

Isn’t this a republican leaning district? This sounds like fake news if the D candidate has positive favorability and the R has negative favorability

Given how many ugly attacks I imagine Edwards and Cawthorn lobbed at each other, I can believe that Edwards's favorability ratings are underwater.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,336
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2022, 07:32:46 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2022, 07:37:17 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Alot of these polls take a grain of salt there is a hidden black and brown vote in these polls that's why Ds are overperformed Biden Approvals, NC is a battlefield with Cheri Beasley

2 pts with Budd is nothing to brag about if you are an R
Logged
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,094


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2022, 07:58:28 PM »

There was some brief buzz about Davis being competitive last time and Cawthorn blew him out. It's not a hugely R district, but it is rather inelastic. Beach-Ferrara losing by 10-15 sounds about right, which is about what you get if you weight away from an internal.
Logged
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2022, 10:05:31 PM »

This is a double digit Trump district. This poll is absolute hopium for Dems. Edwards by double digits.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.211 seconds with 11 queries.