my painful prediction.
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Author Topic: my painful prediction.  (Read 1789 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: October 18, 2006, 01:41:39 PM »

this will be like 1994, though not quite as bad (or good, depending on your perspective)

honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.

the rest is gone.

ugh.  i dont even want to think about the house.  but speaker pelosi is superior to speaker murtha.
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Deano963
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2006, 01:46:40 PM »

LOL - I opened this up expecting you to finally say that Healey is going to lose to Patrick. Silly me.


honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.


What about Tennessee?
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auburntiger
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2006, 01:47:00 PM »

OH Lord, Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Punch me in the face NOW
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riceowl
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2006, 01:49:55 PM »



honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.



tn.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2006, 01:53:21 PM »

LOL - I opened this up expecting you to finally say that Healey is going to lose to Patrick. Silly me.


honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.


What about Tennessee?

yes i forgot tn.  they have a shot in tn.

i would also add that they have a very outside shot at nj still.

of the races that are still too close to call, here is my prediction (again, i hope im wrong on some of these):

mo: d
ri: r
az: r
va: r
nj: d
tn: d, in a very, very, very tight race.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2006, 02:00:02 PM »

OH Lord, Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Punch me in the face NOW

SMACK!!!!!!
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BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2006, 02:06:29 PM »

So you finally admit Santorum and Kennedy are finished?

About time.

(Worth noting everyone still saying Santorum will win also thought Mark Kennedy was a spetacular candidate.)
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2006, 02:08:43 PM »

So you finally admit Santorum and Kennedy are finished?

About time.

(Worth noting everyone still saying Santorum will win also thought Mark Kennedy was a spetacular candidate.)

kennedy is finished.

im still hoping that santorum pulls an upset.
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Kevin
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2006, 02:16:29 PM »

So you finally admit Santorum and Kennedy are finished?

About time.

(Worth noting everyone still saying Santorum will win also thought Mark Kennedy was a spetacular candidate.)

kennedy is finished.

im still hoping that santorum pulls an upset.
Santorum is gone, he may make it close but in the end like I've said before he will fall short.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2006, 02:22:43 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2006, 02:24:52 PM by auburntiger »

The GOP knows it was in for a pounding this year

I would say GOP should forget MT, OH, PA, and RI

Focus HARD on TN, MO, and VA
AZ won't be very tight

If the GOP loses those three
They'll lose MO TN then VA

As I have always said, Corker will pull out by about 3%. I thnk the polls are misleading. It will be CORKER in a very, very tight race.
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Conan
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2006, 02:24:33 PM »

LOL - I opened this up expecting you to finally say that Healey is going to lose to Patrick. Silly me.


honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.


What about Tennessee?

yes i forgot tn.  they have a shot in tn.

i would also add that they have a very outside shot at nj still.

of the races that are still too close to call, here is my prediction (again, i hope im wrong on some of these):

mo: d
ri: r
az: r
va: r
nj: d
tn: d, in a very, very, very tight race.
RI is almost 100% certain for a Whitehouse win.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2006, 02:25:30 PM »

LOL - I opened this up expecting you to finally say that Healey is going to lose to Patrick. Silly me.


honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.


What about Tennessee?

yes i forgot tn.  they have a shot in tn.

i would also add that they have a very outside shot at nj still.

of the races that are still too close to call, here is my prediction (again, i hope im wrong on some of these):

mo: d
ri: r
az: r
va: r
nj: d
tn: d, in a very, very, very tight race.
RI is almost 100% certain for a Whitehouse win.

agreed
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sethm0
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2006, 04:11:19 PM »

LOL - I opened this up expecting you to finally say that Healey is going to lose to Patrick. Silly me.


honestly at this point, the republicans really only have a shot in ri, mo, az, and va.


What about Tennessee?

yes i forgot tn.  they have a shot in tn.

i would also add that they have a very outside shot at nj still.

of the races that are still too close to call, here is my prediction (again, i hope im wrong on some of these):

mo: d
ri: r
az: r
va: r
nj: d
tn: d, in a very, very, very tight race.
RI is almost 100% certain for a Whitehouse win.

agreed


I disagree. I give Chafee about a 40% chance. Whitehouse is really not nearly as loved in the state as Chafee is. He may not need to be, but nevertheless Chafee could still pull it out.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2006, 05:21:25 PM »

OH Lord, Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Punch me in the face NOW

Yeah, that wasn't the right word. I guess if I HAD To pick which branch I would want to lose, it would be the House.
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J. J.
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2006, 05:39:34 PM »

RI and VA holds and there is a pickup in NJ, but I'm expecting a loss in PA (and I'm voiting for Santorum), MT, OH.  MO an TN are close, though I'll predict a GOP hold.
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jfern
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2006, 05:48:31 PM »

OH Lord, Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Punch me in the face NOW

At least you're not threatening to kill yourself.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2006, 07:26:03 PM »


this will be like 1994, though not quite as bad (or good, depending on your perspective)


Well, as things stand , it's looking that way Smiley. You Republicans want to thank your lucky stars for gerrymandering, because without it the abyss you are staring into would be worse still but it ain't over 'til its over

Perhaps, Democrats should consider advocating nationwide independent state redistricting boards. Take it from the legislatures but keep the feds out

Dave
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Conan
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2006, 07:49:26 PM »

RI and VA holds and there is a pickup in NJ, but I'm expecting a loss in PA (and I'm voiting for Santorum), MT, OH.  MO an TN are close, though I'll predict a GOP hold.
Don't get your hopes up with NJ.
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opebo
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2006, 10:48:07 PM »

RI and VA holds and there is a pickup in NJ, but I'm expecting a loss in PA (and I'm voiting for Santorum), MT, OH.  MO an TN are close, though I'll predict a GOP hold.

Right on.  This seems the most realistic scenario.

You think it is realistic to expect to hold Rhode Island?  That's just silly.  The pickup in New Jersey is equally unlikely.
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Nym90
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2006, 11:13:11 PM »

RI and VA holds and there is a pickup in NJ, but I'm expecting a loss in PA (and I'm voiting for Santorum), MT, OH.  MO an TN are close, though I'll predict a GOP hold.

At this point the Republicans would be ecstatic with that result.

Of course, it's pretty pathetic for you guys that you'd be thrilled with "only" losing 2 seats Smiley, by any objective standard that's still a pretty bad night.
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Nym90
nym90
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2006, 11:14:13 PM »


SMACK-SMACK-SMACK!!!

I will gladly take "the mother of 5 with no apparent moral blemishes on her public record" any day!

(The quoted part was courtesy of Larry Sabato.)

http://www.insidebayarea.com/argus/localnews/ci_4486231

But you forgot about the huge moral blemish of being from San Francisco! Smiley
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Nym90
nym90
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2006, 11:25:29 PM »

But you forgot about the huge moral blemish of being from San Francisco! Smiley

ROFLMAO!!!!! Grin

Smiley I just get annoyed when she is always referred to as a "San Francisco liberal". I understand what is being implied, but I don't see how disliking someone based on where they are from makes her opponents any better than those who may hate Southerners or anyone else based on their hometown or state.

Just goes to show there is no monopoly on elitism in politics.
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Rococo4
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2006, 12:17:59 AM »

OH Lord, Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Punch me in the face NOW

Yeah, that wasn't the right word. I guess if I HAD To pick which branch I would want to lose, it would be the House.

Obviously I hope we lose neither, but if I had to pick, it would be the House as the one to lose.
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ucscgaldamez
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2006, 12:29:27 AM »

I would prefer Democrats winning the House. Though the Senate is very important when it comes to judicial nominations.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2006, 01:03:27 AM »

OH Lord, Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Punch me in the face NOW

At least you're not threatening to kill yourself.

Haha never. If we could survive the days of Jimmy Carter we can survive anything
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