What was the first sign McAuliffe was in trouble?
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Author Topic: What was the first sign McAuliffe was in trouble?  (Read 530 times)
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 03, 2021, 08:32:39 AM »
What was the first sign during the night you took that indicated McAuliffe was in serious trouble?

For me, it was seeing the majority of Montgomery and Radford in and Youngkin leading comfortably in both. The latter especially.

I've been saying the entire time whoever wins Radford will win the election. Youngkin appears to have won Radford barring an extremely good 14% of late ballots for Democrats and Youngkin won statewide.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2021, 08:37:06 AM »
When Biden took the lead in Wisconsin.
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2021, 08:38:08 AM »
« Edited: November 03, 2021, 08:46:19 AM by Chips »

I meant during last night.
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Wormless Gourd
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2021, 08:46:21 AM »
About 30-40 minutes after polls closed I noticed two very different rural counties(Buchanan in the coalfields and 30% black Richmond on the coast) were almost all in and Youngkin was running ahead of Trump by several points(Richmond ended up swinging 15 points right from 2020). In 2017 Northam put up better-then-Clinton margins in most rural counties. That was my first red flag as other results came in, until Loudoun had a huge vote drop and Youngkin was within 10 there. When it was proven to not be an error, I felt it was over for McAuliffe's chances.

Quote from: still cringenat on November 02, 2021, 06:37:24 PM
We have a county 95% in according to DDHQ.
Rural Richmond county on the coast is 70% Youngkin, up from 62% Trump.

Quote from: still cringenat on November 02, 2021, 06:40:00 PM
SW Virginia Buchanan county, 99% in, 84.5% Youngkin, up from 83.5% Trump
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2021, 08:48:16 AM »
Once Loudoun was within 10 points, I knew it was likely over.
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iceman
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2021, 08:51:25 AM »
when Youngkin flipped some black counties like Northampton, Prince Edward, Surry…
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jamestroll
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2021, 08:52:37 AM »
I knew this whole time.
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Big Abraham
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2021, 08:54:30 AM »
When he was nominated.
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Continential
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2021, 08:57:09 AM »
When the exit polls happened.
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Lognog
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2021, 09:06:55 AM »
When he started calling his opponent "Trumpkin".

In all seriousness I believe this dumb attack is indicative of how lazy this whole campaign was. First, they never talked about Tmac's record as governor which was popular. Second, they totally ignored popular legislation by the Democratic trifecta that was passed. Lastly, it just shows low little Tmac cared about running this campaign. He was clearly asleep at the wheel and tried to nationalize race that was not about Donald Trump. The race was about Covid restrictions, consumer prices, and parents having a say in education. Tmac did absolutely nothing to addresss these concerns and instead tried to shape the image of his already well defined "friendly business man" opponent. 
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Thunder98
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2021, 09:10:23 AM »
When Biden won last November.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2021, 09:22:11 AM »
Wasserman saw first signs in May
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2021, 09:27:46 AM »
Nonpublic Dem internal poll from 2 weeks ago showing him down.
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