Predict VA-GOV margins
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Author Topic: Predict VA-GOV margins  (Read 1313 times)
here2view
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« Reply #25 on: July 27, 2021, 11:12:38 AM »
T-Mac 53-46
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THG
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« Reply #26 on: August 07, 2021, 12:54:38 PM »
Bumping this.

Similarly to 2017, I believe that it all comes down to the factor of turnout- specifically, in Northern Virginia. I do not visualize Youngkin doing all that much better in NOVA than Trump in terms of percentage, but I also do not see NOVA turning out as much- even with all of the Youngkin campaign’s gaffes, due to the national environment being vastly different this time compared to ‘17.

Still a Lean D race, but this could be Likely D if not for the fact that T-Mac seems to not have a clue on how to run a campaign.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #27 on: August 07, 2021, 01:01:34 PM »
TMAC 52(46(2
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Xing
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« Reply #28 on: August 07, 2021, 01:10:13 PM »
McAuliffe by 5-6%.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #29 on: August 07, 2021, 01:30:39 PM »
Tossup as of now, but I say that McAuliffe wins by 3-4 points.
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THG
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« Reply #30 on: August 07, 2021, 02:12:00 PM »
Quote from: Suburbia on August 07, 2021, 01:30:39 PM
Tossup as of now, but I say that McAuliffe wins by 3-4 points.

T-Mac is running an abysmal campaign, but Youngkin isn’t exactly a brilliant campaigner either.

I do agree with your final assessment however.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #31 on: August 22, 2021, 10:50:18 PM »
Quote from: Coolidge 2024 on August 07, 2021, 02:12:00 PM
Quote from: Suburbia on August 07, 2021, 01:30:39 PM
Tossup as of now, but I say that McAuliffe wins by 3-4 points.

T-Mac is running an abysmal campaign, but Youngkin isn’t exactly a brilliant campaigner either.

I do agree with your final assessment however.

T-Mac isn't running an abysmal campaign.  There's no basis for this statement.
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Chips
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« Reply #32 on: August 23, 2021, 09:29:11 AM »
McAuliffe+6. It's what I've been saying for a while.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #33 on: August 23, 2021, 09:38:21 AM »
Gov: D +7.5
LG: D +6.2
AG: D +5.8
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THG
TheTarHeelGent
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« Reply #34 on: August 23, 2021, 10:49:07 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on August 22, 2021, 10:50:18 PM
Quote from: Coolidge 2024 on August 07, 2021, 02:12:00 PM
Quote from: Suburbia on August 07, 2021, 01:30:39 PM
Tossup as of now, but I say that McAuliffe wins by 3-4 points.

T-Mac is running an abysmal campaign, but Youngkin isn’t exactly a brilliant campaigner either.

I do agree with your final assessment however.

T-Mac isn't running an abysmal campaign.  There's no basis for this statement.

Have you seen his Twitter account?

It’s like a parody of itself. Not that it will hurt him in Virginia, but it won’t help him either.

Still Lean/Likely D, however.
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THG
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« Reply #35 on: August 23, 2021, 10:50:32 AM »
Quote from: Chips on August 23, 2021, 09:29:11 AM
McAuliffe+6. It's what I've been saying for a while.

I had it as T-Mac +4 but with Youngkin not campaigning in Northern Virginia, it could be likely D instead of Lean D.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #36 on: August 23, 2021, 01:58:17 PM »
T-Mac wins the election 53-45%.
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