Describe a Stereotypical Swing Voter in the Following Elections
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  Describe a Stereotypical Swing Voter in the Following Elections
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Author Topic: Describe a Stereotypical Swing Voter in the Following Elections  (Read 624 times)
H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 03, 2021, 10:42:50 PM »

In order to avoid creating multiple threads, I'm creating a thread to "profile" swing voters in various historical US Presidential elections. Include details such as race, ethnicity, religion, job, sex, economic class, geographic location, and/or political views. Might expand this to include foreign elections.

To start with:

1948
1960
1968
1976
1988
1996
2004
2016
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2021, 10:37:24 PM »

Do you mean “the voters who decided the election” or “people who voted for the opposite party of who they voted for the prior election?”
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H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
Junior Chimp
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Korea, Republic of


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E: -6.58, S: -1.91

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« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2021, 11:23:24 PM »

Do you mean “the voters who decided the election” or “people who voted for the opposite party of who they voted for the prior election?”

The former.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2021, 11:30:51 PM »

1948: Voters afraid that Dewey would repeal the New Deal.
1960: Voters who blamed Eisenhower for the 1957 recession.
1968: Voters frightened by riots, school bussing, feminism, and hippies.
1976: Voters mad at Ford for pardoning Nixon and for the economic decline since 1972.
1988: Voters freightened of violent criminals being given furloughs.
1996: Voters afraid that Dole would sign whatever entitlement cuts Congress sent to his desk.
2004: Voters who thought that Kerry wouldn’t have responded to 9/11.
2016: Voters who thought Hillary’s emails were worse than anything Trump said.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2021, 06:43:54 PM »

1948: Voters afraid that Dewey would repeal the New Deal.
1960: Voters who blamed Eisenhower for the 1957 recession.
1968: Voters frightened by riots, school bussing, feminism, and hippies.
1976: Voters mad at Ford for pardoning Nixon and for the economic decline since 1972.
1988: Voters freightened of violent criminals being given furloughs.
1996: Voters afraid that Dole would sign whatever entitlement cuts Congress sent to his desk.
2004: Voters who thought that Kerry wouldn’t have responded to 9/11.
2016: Voters who thought Hillary’s emails were worse than anything Trump said.

I'd add 2000.

2000: A few hundred Gore voters in Florida who couldn't fill out their ballots properly.
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TransfemmeGoreVidal
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2021, 08:33:13 AM »

1948: Union members mad at Truman threatening to draft them.
1960: Probably the swingiest electorate in history: Protestant Democrats suspicious of Kennedy's Catholicism, quite a few African-Americans, People concerned about the economy/communism/people torn between Nixon's experience and disappointment with Eisenhower's second term.
1968: anti-war/anti-current handling of the war voters, Law and Order voters
1976: People torn between anger over Nixon's pardon of Ford/Distrust of Carter's religions views
Nothing to add for 1976, 1988 or 1996
2016: White Working Class Midwesterners, Wealthy Suburbanites
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If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
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« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2021, 03:46:30 AM »

1960: Eisenhower fans who were impressed by Kennedy's hawkishness and command of the media, and offended by Bruce Alger's antics
(bonus) 1964: Opposed to civil rights but possibly even more opposed to Goldwater's economics and foreign policy
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