OH-06: Bill Johnson new president of Youngstown State

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/Olivia_Beavers/status/1725256488619508215

[Roll Roons]

Oh god. This is a contender for one of the most MAGA districts in the country and I don’t want to think about who might be elected here.

[Zedonathin2020]

Is this a retirement or a resignation??

[Хahar 🤔]

I guess this is how I find out that Jim Tressel retired.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Need a freedom caucus member here. Ohio Rs overall are really mid. Even Max Miller ended up a huge disappointment.

[Tekken_Guy]

Oh god. This is a contender for one of the most MAGA districts in the country and I don’t want to think about who might be elected here.

The mayor of East Palestine?

[Unelectable Bystander]

Just a reminder that Johnson won Mahoning County 56-44.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Oh god. This is a contender for one of the most MAGA districts in the country and I don’t want to think about who might be elected here.

The mayor of East Palestine?

Is he in the district? He would be a great choice.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Reminder that he may have lost in 2012 if not for gerrymandering.

[Benjamin Frank]

Nobody said it here and maybe I'm just in a bad mood, but...

I get tired of these stories from reporters emphasizing the 'flood' of retirements...every cycle.

There are 25 announced retirements from the House right now not including this one because I don't know if this is a retirement or a resignation, but, more than this should be expected. In 2022 there were 49 retirements but that was an inflated number due to the redistricting that reduced the number of districts in some states and other factors caused by redistricting like some districts being split into multiple other districts.

Let's go through the math.

The elections are every two years. There are 435 members of Congress. If there were 43.5 retirements every cycle, and no member of Congress retired until every member of Congress who was elected before them retired (and not including defeats to be sure) then every member of Congress would serve for 10 terms or 20 years.

So, the media would probably alternate stories between the 'flood' of retirements and how term limits are needed to remove long serving members of the U.S House.

Yes, there are individual members who complain about Congress when retiring and maybe those complaints are increasing, but there really is no story in the number of retirements.  It's just the simple math of there being 435 members in the House.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Nobody said it here and maybe I'm just in a bad mood, but...

I get tired of these stories from reporters emphasizing the 'flood' of retirements...every cycle.

There are 25 announced retirements from the House right now not including this one because I don't know if this is a retirement or a resignation, but, more than this should be expected. In 2022 there were 49 retirements but that was an inflated number due to the redistricting that reduced the number of districts in some states and other factors caused by redistricting like some districts being split into multiple other districts.

Let's go through the math.

The elections are every two years. There are 435 members of Congress. If there were 43.5 retirements every cycle, and no member of Congress retired until every member of Congress who was elected before them retired (and not including defeats to be sure) then every member of Congress would serve for 10 terms or 20 years.

So, the media would probably alternate stories between the 'flood' of retirements and how term limits are needed to remove long serving members of the U.S House.

Yes, there are individual members who complain about Congress when retiring and maybe those complaints are increasing, but there really is no story in the number of retirements.  It's just the simple math of there being 435 members in the House.

Yeah in fact I feel like there's less retirements this cycle than usual

[Rjjr77]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

[MargieCat]

Oh god. This is a contender for one of the most MAGA districts in the country and I don’t want to think about who might be elected here.

Maybe Trump and Bannon will come out here vet candidates before making an endorsement.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

[Rjjr77]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

Him just resigning makes me think not

[Tekken_Guy]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

Him just resigning makes me think not

How about Christina Hagan, she's from Stark and part of Stark is in the seat. Or Gesiotto Gilbert runs here this time?

[Rjjr77]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

Him just resigning makes me think not

How about Christina Hagan, she's from Stark and part of Stark is in the seat. Or Gesiotto Gilbert runs here this time?

what about Jane Timken

[Vosem]

Nobody said it here and maybe I'm just in a bad mood, but...

I get tired of these stories from reporters emphasizing the 'flood' of retirements...every cycle.

There are 25 announced retirements from the House right now not including this one because I don't know if this is a retirement or a resignation, but, more than this should be expected. In 2022 there were 49 retirements but that was an inflated number due to the redistricting that reduced the number of districts in some states and other factors caused by redistricting like some districts being split into multiple other districts.

Let's go through the math.

The elections are every two years. There are 435 members of Congress. If there were 43.5 retirements every cycle, and no member of Congress retired until every member of Congress who was elected before them retired (and not including defeats to be sure) then every member of Congress would serve for 10 terms or 20 years.

So, the media would probably alternate stories between the 'flood' of retirements and how term limits are needed to remove long serving members of the U.S House.

Yes, there are individual members who complain about Congress when retiring and maybe those complaints are increasing, but there really is no story in the number of retirements.  It's just the simple math of there being 435 members in the House.

Yeah in fact I feel like there's less retirements this cycle than usual

Well, the actual pattern is that the redistricting year is always a flood. 2022 had a really high number of retirements, as did 2012, and so on and so on. I believe 1992 was the most ever. Since 2024 isn't a redistricting year, it'll have fewer. (It feels like more people than usual are just quitting outright, but it might be that Johnson and Higgins both did so in a short period of time).

Yes, East Palestine is in this seat. It was very competitive not that long ago (Johnson won quite narrowly in 2010/2012 but got entrenched afterwards), and the 2010s version of this seat was the single seat in America that swung the most from Romney to Trump (though Romney had already won pretty comfortably; I believe an earlier version was Gore/Bush/McCain). It's a very disparate seat which would see a huge primary and the winner might be very unexpected since Ohio has no runoffs (like, 'mayor of not even that big of a town' is totally plausible here).

[Tekken_Guy]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

Him just resigning makes me think not

How about Christina Hagan, she's from Stark and part of Stark is in the seat. Or Gesiotto Gilbert runs here this time?

what about Jane Timken

She was heavily recruited to take on Sykes this cycle and declined. I doubt she runs here.

[Vosem]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

Him just resigning makes me think not

How about Christina Hagan, she's from Stark and part of Stark is in the seat. Or Gesiotto Gilbert runs here this time?

Hagan actually lives in this seat following the redistricting; she might be a plausible 'populist' candidate if she wants it.

[Rjjr77]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

Frank Hoagland is another possibility

Him just resigning makes me think not

How about Christina Hagan, she's from Stark and part of Stark is in the seat. Or Gesiotto Gilbert runs here this time?

Hagan actually lives in this seat following the redistricting; she might be a plausible 'populist' candidate if she wants it.

I doubt she runs but Jane Timken is also in the district

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

I'm thinking State Senator Michael Rulli would be the easy choice

I checked his Twitter and somehow he follows me. Idk why.

He's anti-Ukraine, endorsed Trump and would join the Freedom Caucus. He has my support.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/dskolnick/status/1727060447889932700?t=Rj2G1xKCSvINcqNntnEra...

It is done. Now we turn to the fate of those he leaves behind.

IMO watch to see if people who are at risk of fair redistricting under the ammendment hop in. Not that their seats would get more democratic in this area,  but more that their seats would become compact and they wouldn't reside in them anymore.

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/RepBillJohnson/status/1727066717279428779

Said he will continue for "several more months", so will be leaving early. Depending on when he does leave seat may not be filled until November 24 elections.

[Flyersfan232]

Need a freedom caucus member here. Ohio Rs overall are really mid. Even Max Miller ended up a huge disappointment.

we need less grifter caucus members