Black congressmembers in swing districts

[Suburbia]

Other than Lauren Underwood in Illinois, which Black congressmember represents a swing area or could be vulnerable to a loss in 2022 and beyond, most Black congressmembers are in safe districts like Clyburn or Waters.....

[lfromnj]

CT 5th is kinda swingy,
Allred and Mcbath too are in previously swingy districts although now Safe/Borderline Safe. Sanford Bishop's isn't really swingy right now but it used to be. GK butterfield's is close but probably still too polarized.

Deming'
s isn't in a swing district but she came closer than Obama to winning a Romney district in 2012. Lawson was also willing to run for a swing district back in 2010. Horsford in NV 4th is definitely in a swing district and Delgado represents a Trump 2016 and a bare Biden 2020 district.

Also Burgess Owens just flipped a swing district last year in UT 4th.

Of these, here is who I see at risk for 2022.

Allred- unlikely I think the Texas GOP will cede the 3rd DFW seat and he gets a safe seat for 2022.
Mcbath- Under current lines she most likely survives 2022(95%) although issue is the GA GOP has been hinting towards drawing one of GA06/GA07 out. However the issue is even if they sink one of GA06/GA07 McBath is still at risk. IMO the GA GOP will probably draw 4 black majority seats but the "new" seat would actually come from the southern suburbs while David Scott and Hank Johnson's seats are pushed northwards. This could put McBath at a primary risk if Scott doesn't want to move South.

Bishop- The GA GOP could try to cut him although they have never been insanely aggressive regarding redistricting congressionally at least.

Butterfield- If I had to guess the NC GOP could just sink him by adding Durham again or they could push it towards a tossup.
Deming's- Probably safe even with an Orlando seat cut but she might run statewide anyway.
Lawson- I think the FL GOP will cut FL 5th which probably screws him.
Horsford- Probably gets shored up.
Delgado-Gets shored up.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The Georgia Republicans have never targeted Bishop because doing so would likely bring up VRA violation issues.