Canadian provincial elections

[mileslunn]

This year, we have two provincial scheduled elections and likely three.  Once writ drops, then I will create separate files but for now just one.

Newfoundland & Labrador: With new leader must go before August 19th.  Since Newfoundland has handled COVID-19 well, I believe Liberals will get a majority but when the financial reckoning comes, wouldn't be surprised if Furey's approval ratings take a tumble.  In some ways good for NL Liberals going now before the fiscal reckoning.

Nova Scotia:  Stephen McNeil for a while was least popular premier, but now one of the more popular premiers.  And while not running for re-election, I believe Nova Scotia's strong handling of COVID-19 bodes well for Liberals as well

Yukon:  Must have one by November and while zero polls (tough to poll due to small population), I see no reason why Sandy Silver of Yukon Liberal Party won't get re-elected.

If we have a federal one, this may be best Liberal year since 2015 with a perfect sweep of all four.

[DC Al Fine]

Nova Scotia:  Stephen McNeil for a while was least popular premier, but now one of the more popular premiers.  And while not running for re-election, I believe Nova Scotia's strong handling of COVID-19 bodes well for Liberals as well

We could technically go in 2022 as we have no fixed election laws. That said all the rumours indicate that the plan is to give the new leader a few months to get his name out there, and then call a summer election like Rodney MacDonald did in 2006. Regional results will depend on whether the Liberals pick Randy DeLorey (Antigonish) or one of the Halifax candidates.

I'm still undecided at this point. I like my Tory MLA, but I can't stand Tim Houston. I could see myself voting for a Labi Kousoulis led Liberal Party, but would have a harder time with the others. Will have to see how things shake out.

[mileslunn]

Nova Scotia:  Stephen McNeil for a while was least popular premier, but now one of the more popular premiers.  And while not running for re-election, I believe Nova Scotia's strong handling of COVID-19 bodes well for Liberals as well

We could technically go in 2022 as we have no fixed election laws. That said all the rumours indicate that the plan is to give the new leader a few months to get his name out there, and then call a summer election like Rodney MacDonald did in 2006. Regional results will depend on whether the Liberals pick Randy DeLorey (Antigonish) or one of the Halifax candidates.

I'm still undecided at this point. I like my Tory MLA, but I can't stand Tim Houston. I could see myself voting for a Labi Kousoulis led Liberal Party, but would have a harder time with the others. Will have to see how things shake out.

I would think with Atlantic Canada largely avoiding the second wave of COVID-19, it would be a great time for any incumbent government.  2022 with COVID-19 over and huge bills to pay much less so.

[The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ]

The polling out of Newfoundland has been something else. The most recent one, MQO research finalized on Dec 23 2020, has the Liberals with a 65-22 lead over the tories, with 11% for the NDP.

http://ntv.ca/latest-mqo-research-poll-gives-big-lead-to-governing-liberals/

Surely this kind of margin won't hold, but if I were Andrew Furey, I wouldn't mind going into an election year with a 43-pt lead.

[adma]

And...N&L is off to the polls.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/general-election-call-nl-2021-1.5871456

[Benjamin Frank]

And...N&L is off to the polls.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/general-election-call-nl-2021-1.5871456

A winter election is odd timing.  Apparently there were snow/wind storms on the first day of the campaign. 

https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/winds-of-change-first-day-of-n-l-election-campaign-begins-with-snow-winter-winds-1.5269795

[Benjamin Frank]

The polling out of Newfoundland has been something else. The most recent one, MQO research finalized on Dec 23 2020, has the Liberals with a 65-22 lead over the tories, with 11% for the NDP.

http://ntv.ca/latest-mqo-research-poll-gives-big-lead-to-governing-liberals/

Surely this kind of margin won't hold, but if I were Andrew Furey, I wouldn't mind going into an election year with a 43-pt lead.

Those are similar numbers to Danny Williams.